The Democratic Party of Korea (DP) enters the June 3, 2026, National Assembly by-elections holding a clear structural edge, with traders assigning the highest probability to the party securing 10 or more of the up to 14 contested seats. This positioning stems from the DP's control of both the presidency under Lee Jae-myung and a parliamentary majority, reinforced by the party's strong performance in recent polling and the lingering effects of the 2024 martial law episode that continues to weigh on the opposition People Power Party. Fragmentation within conservative ranks, including independent candidacies and internal divisions, has further limited the PPP's ability to mount competitive challenges in many districts. Scheduled alongside nationwide local elections, the by-elections serve as an early gauge of administration momentum, though outcomes remain subject to last-minute turnout shifts or unforeseen campaign developments.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया# दक्षिण कोरिया के उपचुनावों में डीपी द्वारा जीती गई सीटों में से?
10+ 80.7%
8-9 5.0%
2-3 <1%
0-1 <1%
$34,584 वॉल्यूम
$34,584 वॉल्यूम
0-1
<1%
2-3
<1%
4-5
<1%
6-7
<1%
8-9
12%
10+
79%
10+ 80.7%
8-9 5.0%
2-3 <1%
0-1 <1%
$34,584 वॉल्यूम
$34,584 वॉल्यूम
0-1
<1%
2-3
<1%
4-5
<1%
6-7
<1%
8-9
12%
10+
79%
This market will resolve according to the number of National Assembly seats won by the Democratic Party of Korea (DP) in parliamentary by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026.
Any seat won by the Democratic Party of Korea in these elections will count, regardless of the party that controlled the relevant seat prior to these elections. Seats uncontested during the June 3 election will not have any impact on the resolution of this market.
If the results of these elections are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in these elections, not any coalition or alliance of which it may be a part.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (http://nec.go.kr/site/nec/main.do).
Note: this market includes any National Assembly seats contested in by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026, not just elections which are scheduled as of this market’s creation.
बाज़ार खुला: Feb 12, 2026, 4:13 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the number of National Assembly seats won by the Democratic Party of Korea (DP) in parliamentary by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026.
Any seat won by the Democratic Party of Korea in these elections will count, regardless of the party that controlled the relevant seat prior to these elections. Seats uncontested during the June 3 election will not have any impact on the resolution of this market.
If the results of these elections are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in these elections, not any coalition or alliance of which it may be a part.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (http://nec.go.kr/site/nec/main.do).
Note: this market includes any National Assembly seats contested in by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026, not just elections which are scheduled as of this market’s creation.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Democratic Party of Korea (DP) enters the June 3, 2026, National Assembly by-elections holding a clear structural edge, with traders assigning the highest probability to the party securing 10 or more of the up to 14 contested seats. This positioning stems from the DP's control of both the presidency under Lee Jae-myung and a parliamentary majority, reinforced by the party's strong performance in recent polling and the lingering effects of the 2024 martial law episode that continues to weigh on the opposition People Power Party. Fragmentation within conservative ranks, including independent candidacies and internal divisions, has further limited the PPP's ability to mount competitive challenges in many districts. Scheduled alongside nationwide local elections, the by-elections serve as an early gauge of administration momentum, though outcomes remain subject to last-minute turnout shifts or unforeseen campaign developments.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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