OpenAI holds an 82.5% implied probability as the second-best AI agent lab by end of August, reflecting trader consensus on its recent model releases, agent orchestration capabilities, and developer ecosystem momentum that outpace most rivals. Other listed labs sit near 50% or far lower, underscoring the market's view that OpenAI's combination of large language model scale, safety tooling, and integration partnerships creates a durable edge in autonomous agent benchmarks. With the resolution window closing in two weeks, any late-August announcements on agent performance metrics or competitive releases could still shift positioning, though current capital-weighted odds indicate limited room for surprises.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाOpenAI 83%
Moonshot 9%
ByteDance 6%
Anthropic 5.6%
नया
नया
31 अग, 2026
OpenAI
83%
Moonshot
9%
ByteDance
6%
Anthropic
6%
Z.ai
5%
Xiaomi
5%
Alibaba
4%
SpaceXAI
4%
Mistral
3%
Nvidia
1%
Baidu
1%
Microsoft
1%
Meta
1%
1%
DeepSeek
1%
MiniMax
1%
Meituan
1%
Amazon
<1%
OpenAI 83%
Moonshot 9%
ByteDance 6%
Anthropic 5.6%
नया
नया
31 अग, 2026
OpenAI
$1,154 वॉल्यूम
83%
Moonshot
$127 वॉल्यूम
9%
ByteDance
$276 वॉल्यूम
6%
Anthropic
$154 वॉल्यूम
6%
Z.ai
$116 वॉल्यूम
5%
Xiaomi
$136 वॉल्यूम
5%
Alibaba
$125 वॉल्यूम
4%
SpaceXAI
$116 वॉल्यूम
4%
Mistral
$142 वॉल्यूम
3%
Nvidia
$126 वॉल्यूम
1%
Baidu
$204 वॉल्यूम
1%
Microsoft
$195 वॉल्यूम
1%
Meta
$97 वॉल्यूम
1%
$76 वॉल्यूम
1%
DeepSeek
$116 वॉल्यूम
1%
MiniMax
$126 वॉल्यूम
1%
Meituan
$70 वॉल्यूम
1%
Amazon
$84 वॉल्यूम
<1%
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Labs" is checked on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".OpenAI holds an 82.5% implied probability as the second-best AI agent lab by end of August, reflecting trader consensus on its recent model releases, agent orchestration capabilities, and developer ecosystem momentum that outpace most rivals. Other listed labs sit near 50% or far lower, underscoring the market's view that OpenAI's combination of large language model scale, safety tooling, and integration partnerships creates a durable edge in autonomous agent benchmarks. With the resolution window closing in two weeks, any late-August announcements on agent performance metrics or competitive releases could still shift positioning, though current capital-weighted odds indicate limited room for surprises.
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Labs" is checked on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 12, 2026, 7:39 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$3,440समाप्ति तिथि
31 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 12, 2026, 7:39 PM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agentResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Labs" is checked on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".OpenAI holds an 82.5% implied probability as the second-best AI agent lab by end of August, reflecting trader consensus on its recent model releases, agent orchestration capabilities, and developer ecosystem momentum that outpace most rivals. Other listed labs sit near 50% or far lower, underscoring the market's view that OpenAI's combination of large language model scale, safety tooling, and integration partnerships creates a durable edge in autonomous agent benchmarks. With the resolution window closing in two weeks, any late-August announcements on agent performance metrics or competitive releases could still shift positioning, though current capital-weighted odds indicate limited room for surprises.
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Labs" is checked on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
वॉल्यूम
$3,440समाप्ति तिथि
31 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 12, 2026, 7:39 PM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agentResolver
0x69c47De9D...OpenAI holds an 82.5% implied probability as the second-best AI agent lab by end of August, reflecting trader consensus on its recent model releases, agent orchestration capabilities, and developer ecosystem momentum that outpace most rivals. Other listed labs sit near 50% or far lower, underscoring the market's view that OpenAI's combination of large language model scale, safety tooling, and integration partnerships creates a durable edge in autonomous agent benchmarks. With the resolution window closing in two weeks, any late-August announcements on agent performance metrics or competitive releases could still shift positioning, though current capital-weighted odds indicate limited room for surprises.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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