Moonshot holds near-certain market-implied odds as the third-best AI agent lab by end of August, driven by recent demonstrated agent capabilities, benchmark performance, and competitive positioning against larger labs. Traders appear to view its progress in autonomous task handling and model releases as sufficient to secure that ranking ahead of more established players. This consensus reflects capital-backed sentiment on recent technical milestones rather than guarantees, given the fast-moving nature of AI development. Potential challenges include last-minute releases or capability jumps from labs like OpenAI, Anthropic, or Google that could alter relative standings before resolution, or shifts in evaluation criteria for agent quality.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाMoonshot 100.0%
Anthropic <1%
OpenAI <1%
Z.ai <1%
$24,482 वॉल्यूम
$24,482 वॉल्यूम
31 अग, 2026
Anthropic
No
OpenAI
No
Z.ai
No
SpaceXAI
No
Meta
No
Alibaba
No
No
Moonshot
Yes
DeepSeek
No
Xiaomi
No
MiniMax
No
Nvidia
No
ByteDance
No
Baidu
No
Amazon
No
Mistral
No
Meituan
No
Microsoft
No
Moonshot 100.0%
Anthropic <1%
OpenAI <1%
Z.ai <1%
$24,482 वॉल्यूम
$24,482 वॉल्यूम
31 अग, 2026
Anthropic
$1,177 वॉल्यूम
No
OpenAI
$4,071 वॉल्यूम
No
Z.ai
$2,233 वॉल्यूम
No
SpaceXAI
$859 वॉल्यूम
No
Meta
$504 वॉल्यूम
No
Alibaba
$1,262 वॉल्यूम
No
$462 वॉल्यूम
No
Moonshot
$6,613 वॉल्यूम
Yes
DeepSeek
$999 वॉल्यूम
No
Xiaomi
$1,107 वॉल्यूम
No
MiniMax
$868 वॉल्यूम
No
Nvidia
$401 वॉल्यूम
No
ByteDance
$465 वॉल्यूम
No
Baidu
$699 वॉल्यूम
No
Amazon
$477 वॉल्यूम
No
Mistral
$1,322 वॉल्यूम
No
Meituan
$580 वॉल्यूम
No
Microsoft
$385 वॉल्यूम
No
This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Labs" is checked on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Moonshot holds near-certain market-implied odds as the third-best AI agent lab by end of August, driven by recent demonstrated agent capabilities, benchmark performance, and competitive positioning against larger labs. Traders appear to view its progress in autonomous task handling and model releases as sufficient to secure that ranking ahead of more established players. This consensus reflects capital-backed sentiment on recent technical milestones rather than guarantees, given the fast-moving nature of AI development. Potential challenges include last-minute releases or capability jumps from labs like OpenAI, Anthropic, or Google that could alter relative standings before resolution, or shifts in evaluation criteria for agent quality.
This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Labs" is checked on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 12, 2026, 7:39 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$24,482समाप्ति तिथि
1 सित, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 12, 2026, 7:39 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...परिणाम प्रस्तावित: No
कोई विवाद नहीं
अंतिम परिणाम: No
This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Labs" is checked on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Moonshot holds near-certain market-implied odds as the third-best AI agent lab by end of August, driven by recent demonstrated agent capabilities, benchmark performance, and competitive positioning against larger labs. Traders appear to view its progress in autonomous task handling and model releases as sufficient to secure that ranking ahead of more established players. This consensus reflects capital-backed sentiment on recent technical milestones rather than guarantees, given the fast-moving nature of AI development. Potential challenges include last-minute releases or capability jumps from labs like OpenAI, Anthropic, or Google that could alter relative standings before resolution, or shifts in evaluation criteria for agent quality.
This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Labs" is checked on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
वॉल्यूम
$24,482समाप्ति तिथि
1 सित, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 12, 2026, 7:39 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...परिणाम प्रस्तावित: No
कोई विवाद नहीं
अंतिम परिणाम: No
Moonshot holds near-certain market-implied odds as the third-best AI agent lab by end of August, driven by recent demonstrated agent capabilities, benchmark performance, and competitive positioning against larger labs. Traders appear to view its progress in autonomous task handling and model releases as sufficient to secure that ranking ahead of more established players. This consensus reflects capital-backed sentiment on recent technical milestones rather than guarantees, given the fast-moving nature of AI development. Potential challenges include last-minute releases or capability jumps from labs like OpenAI, Anthropic, or Google that could alter relative standings before resolution, or shifts in evaluation criteria for agent quality.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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