Incumbent Mayor Olivia Chow holds a commanding position in the October 26, 2026 Toronto mayoral race, reflected in the market's 77.5 percent implied probability for her victory. A May 14 Liaison Strategies poll shows her at 50 percent support among decided voters, maintaining a 13-point edge over Councillor Brad Bradford, who registered as the leading challenger when nominations opened on May 1. Chow's sustained approval ratings near 55 percent, combined with the decision by former Mayor John Tory to sit out, have consolidated voter preference behind the familiar incumbent amid a fragmented field. Bradford's 19.5 percent market share aligns with his early campaign momentum, while minimal support for Ana Bailão and other candidates underscores limited traction for alternatives ahead of the fall contest.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाOlivia Chow 78%
Brad Bradford 20%
Ana Bailão 2.0%
Kevin Clarke <1%
$30,616 वॉल्यूम
$30,616 वॉल्यूम
Olivia Chow
78%
Brad Bradford
20%
Ana Bailão
2%
Kevin Clarke
1%
Marco Mendicino
1%
Anthony Furey
<1%
Michael Ford
<1%
John Tory
<1%
Olivia Chow 78%
Brad Bradford 20%
Ana Bailão 2.0%
Kevin Clarke <1%
$30,616 वॉल्यूम
$30,616 वॉल्यूम
Olivia Chow
78%
Brad Bradford
20%
Ana Bailão
2%
Kevin Clarke
1%
Marco Mendicino
1%
Anthony Furey
<1%
Michael Ford
<1%
John Tory
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Toronto as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Toronto.
बाज़ार खुला: Apr 1, 2026, 2:37 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Toronto as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Toronto.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Incumbent Mayor Olivia Chow holds a commanding position in the October 26, 2026 Toronto mayoral race, reflected in the market's 77.5 percent implied probability for her victory. A May 14 Liaison Strategies poll shows her at 50 percent support among decided voters, maintaining a 13-point edge over Councillor Brad Bradford, who registered as the leading challenger when nominations opened on May 1. Chow's sustained approval ratings near 55 percent, combined with the decision by former Mayor John Tory to sit out, have consolidated voter preference behind the familiar incumbent amid a fragmented field. Bradford's 19.5 percent market share aligns with his early campaign momentum, while minimal support for Ana Bailão and other candidates underscores limited traction for alternatives ahead of the fall contest.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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