Redistricting in 2025 shifted Texas's 32nd congressional district toward a Republican lean, reflected in an R+8 partisan voting index and an open seat after the Democratic incumbent moved to another district. Republican nominee Jace Yarbrough secured the nomination following a canceled runoff when his main opponent withdrew after the March primary. Democratic nominee Dan Barrios advanced from his primary but faces a more challenging general-election environment in the reconfigured North Texas suburbs. With the November 3, 2026, contest still months away, trader consensus assigns the Republican Party a 77% implied probability, consistent with the district's structural tilt and limited recent polling or campaign developments that would alter that positioning.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाTX -32 हाउस इलेक्शन विनर
TX -32 हाउस इलेक्शन विनर
$29,548 वॉल्यूम
$29,548 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
रिपब्लिकन पार्टी
77%
डेमोक्रेटिक पार्टी
23%
$29,548 वॉल्यूम
$29,548 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
रिपब्लिकन पार्टी
$27,292 वॉल्यूम
77%
डेमोक्रेटिक पार्टी
$2,256 वॉल्यूम
23%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-32 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Redistricting in 2025 shifted Texas's 32nd congressional district toward a Republican lean, reflected in an R+8 partisan voting index and an open seat after the Democratic incumbent moved to another district. Republican nominee Jace Yarbrough secured the nomination following a canceled runoff when his main opponent withdrew after the March primary. Democratic nominee Dan Barrios advanced from his primary but faces a more challenging general-election environment in the reconfigured North Texas suburbs. With the November 3, 2026, contest still months away, trader consensus assigns the Republican Party a 77% implied probability, consistent with the district's structural tilt and limited recent polling or campaign developments that would alter that positioning.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-32 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
बाज़ार खुला: Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$29,548समाप्ति तिथि
4 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-32 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Redistricting in 2025 shifted Texas's 32nd congressional district toward a Republican lean, reflected in an R+8 partisan voting index and an open seat after the Democratic incumbent moved to another district. Republican nominee Jace Yarbrough secured the nomination following a canceled runoff when his main opponent withdrew after the March primary. Democratic nominee Dan Barrios advanced from his primary but faces a more challenging general-election environment in the reconfigured North Texas suburbs. With the November 3, 2026, contest still months away, trader consensus assigns the Republican Party a 77% implied probability, consistent with the district's structural tilt and limited recent polling or campaign developments that would alter that positioning.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-32 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
वॉल्यूम
$29,548समाप्ति तिथि
4 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Redistricting in 2025 shifted Texas's 32nd congressional district toward a Republican lean, reflected in an R+8 partisan voting index and an open seat after the Democratic incumbent moved to another district. Republican nominee Jace Yarbrough secured the nomination following a canceled runoff when his main opponent withdrew after the March primary. Democratic nominee Dan Barrios advanced from his primary but faces a more challenging general-election environment in the reconfigured North Texas suburbs. With the November 3, 2026, contest still months away, trader consensus assigns the Republican Party a 77% implied probability, consistent with the district's structural tilt and limited recent polling or campaign developments that would alter that positioning.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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