Redistricting last year transformed Texas's 32nd district into a Republican-leaning seat with an R+8 partisan voting index, shifting it from Democratic control after the prior incumbent relocated to another district. This structural change, combined with a crowded Republican primary that produced Jace Yarbrough as the nominee following Ryan Binkley's withdrawal, has consolidated GOP support ahead of the November general election. Yarbrough's endorsement by President Trump further bolsters his position in the redrawn North Texas district stretching toward East Texas. Traders' consensus reflects these factors through the Republican Party's 56 percent implied probability, though the outcome remains subject to turnout patterns and national midterm dynamics that could influence the final margin.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाTX -32 हाउस इलेक्शन विनर
TX -32 हाउस इलेक्शन विनर
$26,076 वॉल्यूम
$26,076 वॉल्यूम
4 नव, 2026
रिपब्लिकन पार्टी
74%
डेमोक्रेटिक पार्टी
27%
$26,076 वॉल्यूम
$26,076 वॉल्यूम
4 नव, 2026
रिपब्लिकन पार्टी
$25,719 वॉल्यूम
74%
डेमोक्रेटिक पार्टी
$357 वॉल्यूम
27%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-32 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Redistricting last year transformed Texas's 32nd district into a Republican-leaning seat with an R+8 partisan voting index, shifting it from Democratic control after the prior incumbent relocated to another district. This structural change, combined with a crowded Republican primary that produced Jace Yarbrough as the nominee following Ryan Binkley's withdrawal, has consolidated GOP support ahead of the November general election. Yarbrough's endorsement by President Trump further bolsters his position in the redrawn North Texas district stretching toward East Texas. Traders' consensus reflects these factors through the Republican Party's 56 percent implied probability, though the outcome remains subject to turnout patterns and national midterm dynamics that could influence the final margin.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-32 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
बाज़ार खुला: Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$26,076समाप्ति तिथि
4 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-32 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Redistricting last year transformed Texas's 32nd district into a Republican-leaning seat with an R+8 partisan voting index, shifting it from Democratic control after the prior incumbent relocated to another district. This structural change, combined with a crowded Republican primary that produced Jace Yarbrough as the nominee following Ryan Binkley's withdrawal, has consolidated GOP support ahead of the November general election. Yarbrough's endorsement by President Trump further bolsters his position in the redrawn North Texas district stretching toward East Texas. Traders' consensus reflects these factors through the Republican Party's 56 percent implied probability, though the outcome remains subject to turnout patterns and national midterm dynamics that could influence the final margin.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-32 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
वॉल्यूम
$26,076समाप्ति तिथि
4 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Redistricting last year transformed Texas's 32nd district into a Republican-leaning seat with an R+8 partisan voting index, shifting it from Democratic control after the prior incumbent relocated to another district. This structural change, combined with a crowded Republican primary that produced Jace Yarbrough as the nominee following Ryan Binkley's withdrawal, has consolidated GOP support ahead of the November general election. Yarbrough's endorsement by President Trump further bolsters his position in the redrawn North Texas district stretching toward East Texas. Traders' consensus reflects these factors through the Republican Party's 56 percent implied probability, though the outcome remains subject to turnout patterns and national midterm dynamics that could influence the final margin.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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