Recent upward revisions to UK inflation expectations stem primarily from escalating energy prices amid prolonged Middle East conflict, which have lifted crude oil, gas, and refined product costs since the July Monetary Policy Report. The Bank of England now projects CPI inflation reaching around 3.75% in 2026 Q4—up from 3.2% previously—with August’s 3.1% outturn already reflecting initial pass-through effects. Market-implied odds favor the 3.5–3.9% annual range as trader consensus incorporates these dynamics alongside the MPC’s decision to hold Bank Rate at 3.75%. Consensus forecasts from independent sources cluster near 3.1–3.4%, yet persistent energy volatility and potential further Ofgem price cap adjustments introduce upside risks that support the current leading bin while leaving room for lower outcomes if commodity pressures ease.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया3.5–3.9% 42.4%
3.0–3.4% 16%
4.0-4.4% 15.7%
2.5–2.9% 10.0%
$120,289 वॉल्यूम
$120,289 वॉल्यूम
20 जन, 2027
<1.0%
<1%
1.0–1.4%
2%
1.5–1.9%
4%
2.0–2.4%
2%
2.5–2.9%
10%
3.0–3.4%
16%
3.5–3.9%
42%
4.0-4.4%
16%
4.5%+
8%
3.5–3.9% 42.4%
3.0–3.4% 16%
4.0-4.4% 15.7%
2.5–2.9% 10.0%
$120,289 वॉल्यूम
$120,289 वॉल्यूम
20 जन, 2027
<1.0%
$960 वॉल्यूम
<1%
1.0–1.4%
$1,500 वॉल्यूम
2%
1.5–1.9%
$2,712 वॉल्यूम
4%
2.0–2.4%
$18,911 वॉल्यूम
2%
2.5–2.9%
$22,708 वॉल्यूम
10%
3.0–3.4%
$571 वॉल्यूम
16%
3.5–3.9%
$49,432 वॉल्यूम
42%
4.0-4.4%
$14,367 वॉल्यूम
16%
4.5%+
$9,128 वॉल्यूम
8%
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in the U.K. over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Office for National Statistics (ONS).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly ONS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the ONS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases), currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by choosing the report for the relevant month from the previous releases page for price indices on the ONS website (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases). The relevant figure can be found in the "Consumer price inflation rates" table under the column labeled "CPI 12-month rate (%)" for the relevant month.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly ONS CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ons.gov.uk/releasecalendarRecent upward revisions to UK inflation expectations stem primarily from escalating energy prices amid prolonged Middle East conflict, which have lifted crude oil, gas, and refined product costs since the July Monetary Policy Report. The Bank of England now projects CPI inflation reaching around 3.75% in 2026 Q4—up from 3.2% previously—with August’s 3.1% outturn already reflecting initial pass-through effects. Market-implied odds favor the 3.5–3.9% annual range as trader consensus incorporates these dynamics alongside the MPC’s decision to hold Bank Rate at 3.75%. Consensus forecasts from independent sources cluster near 3.1–3.4%, yet persistent energy volatility and potential further Ofgem price cap adjustments introduce upside risks that support the current leading bin while leaving room for lower outcomes if commodity pressures ease.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in the U.K. over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Office for National Statistics (ONS).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly ONS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the ONS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases), currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by choosing the report for the relevant month from the previous releases page for price indices on the ONS website (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases). The relevant figure can be found in the "Consumer price inflation rates" table under the column labeled "CPI 12-month rate (%)" for the relevant month.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly ONS CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ons.gov.uk/releasecalendar
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly ONS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the ONS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases), currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by choosing the report for the relevant month from the previous releases page for price indices on the ONS website (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases). The relevant figure can be found in the "Consumer price inflation rates" table under the column labeled "CPI 12-month rate (%)" for the relevant month.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly ONS CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ons.gov.uk/releasecalendar
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 21, 2026, 7:24 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$120,289समाप्ति तिथि
21 जन, 2027बाज़ार खुला
Jan 21, 2026, 7:24 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in the U.K. over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Office for National Statistics (ONS).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly ONS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the ONS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases), currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by choosing the report for the relevant month from the previous releases page for price indices on the ONS website (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases). The relevant figure can be found in the "Consumer price inflation rates" table under the column labeled "CPI 12-month rate (%)" for the relevant month.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly ONS CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ons.gov.uk/releasecalendarRecent upward revisions to UK inflation expectations stem primarily from escalating energy prices amid prolonged Middle East conflict, which have lifted crude oil, gas, and refined product costs since the July Monetary Policy Report. The Bank of England now projects CPI inflation reaching around 3.75% in 2026 Q4—up from 3.2% previously—with August’s 3.1% outturn already reflecting initial pass-through effects. Market-implied odds favor the 3.5–3.9% annual range as trader consensus incorporates these dynamics alongside the MPC’s decision to hold Bank Rate at 3.75%. Consensus forecasts from independent sources cluster near 3.1–3.4%, yet persistent energy volatility and potential further Ofgem price cap adjustments introduce upside risks that support the current leading bin while leaving room for lower outcomes if commodity pressures ease.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in the U.K. over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Office for National Statistics (ONS).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly ONS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the ONS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases), currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by choosing the report for the relevant month from the previous releases page for price indices on the ONS website (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases). The relevant figure can be found in the "Consumer price inflation rates" table under the column labeled "CPI 12-month rate (%)" for the relevant month.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly ONS CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ons.gov.uk/releasecalendar
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly ONS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the ONS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases), currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by choosing the report for the relevant month from the previous releases page for price indices on the ONS website (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases). The relevant figure can be found in the "Consumer price inflation rates" table under the column labeled "CPI 12-month rate (%)" for the relevant month.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly ONS CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ons.gov.uk/releasecalendar
वॉल्यूम
$120,289समाप्ति तिथि
21 जन, 2027बाज़ार खुला
Jan 21, 2026, 7:24 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x2F5e3684c...Recent upward revisions to UK inflation expectations stem primarily from escalating energy prices amid prolonged Middle East conflict, which have lifted crude oil, gas, and refined product costs since the July Monetary Policy Report. The Bank of England now projects CPI inflation reaching around 3.75% in 2026 Q4—up from 3.2% previously—with August’s 3.1% outturn already reflecting initial pass-through effects. Market-implied odds favor the 3.5–3.9% annual range as trader consensus incorporates these dynamics alongside the MPC’s decision to hold Bank Rate at 3.75%. Consensus forecasts from independent sources cluster near 3.1–3.4%, yet persistent energy volatility and potential further Ofgem price cap adjustments introduce upside risks that support the current leading bin while leaving room for lower outcomes if commodity pressures ease.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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