Recent upside surprises in UK CPI, which reached 3.3% in March 2026 amid higher motor fuel and energy costs tied to Middle East tensions, have elevated trader expectations for the full-year 2026 average. Market-implied odds now cluster tightly around the 4.0-4.4% and 4.5%+ buckets, reflecting Bank of England scenario analysis that projects inflation holding near 3.3% through year-end before potential persistence above 3% into 2027 if second-round effects from wages and services intensify. This pricing incorporates the BoE’s upward revision of its Q3 2026 forecast by 1.4 percentage points relative to February and ongoing uncertainty over oil price trajectories, with key data releases through mid-year likely to sharpen the distribution between these leading outcomes.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाU.K. Annual Inflation 2026
U.K. Annual Inflation 2026
3.5–3.9% 27%
4.0-4.4% 26%
4.5%+ 23%
2.5–2.9% 7.0%
नया
नया
20 जन, 2027
<1.0%
1%
1.0–1.4%
5%
1.5–1.9%
4%
2.0–2.4%
11%
2.5–2.9%
7%
3.5–3.9%
27%
4.0-4.4%
26%
4.5%+
33%
3.5–3.9% 27%
4.0-4.4% 26%
4.5%+ 23%
2.5–2.9% 7.0%
नया
नया
20 जन, 2027
<1.0%
$802 वॉल्यूम
1%
1.0–1.4%
$330 वॉल्यूम
5%
1.5–1.9%
$483 वॉल्यूम
4%
2.0–2.4%
$305 वॉल्यूम
11%
2.5–2.9%
$385 वॉल्यूम
7%
3.5–3.9%
$525 वॉल्यूम
27%
4.0-4.4%
$420 वॉल्यूम
26%
4.5%+
$1,080 वॉल्यूम
33%
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in the U.K. over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Office for National Statistics (ONS).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly ONS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the ONS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases), currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by choosing the report for the relevant month from the previous releases page for price indices on the ONS website (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases). The relevant figure can be found in the "Consumer price inflation rates" table under the column labeled "CPI 12-month rate (%)" for the relevant month.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly ONS CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ons.gov.uk/releasecalendarRecent upside surprises in UK CPI, which reached 3.3% in March 2026 amid higher motor fuel and energy costs tied to Middle East tensions, have elevated trader expectations for the full-year 2026 average. Market-implied odds now cluster tightly around the 4.0-4.4% and 4.5%+ buckets, reflecting Bank of England scenario analysis that projects inflation holding near 3.3% through year-end before potential persistence above 3% into 2027 if second-round effects from wages and services intensify. This pricing incorporates the BoE’s upward revision of its Q3 2026 forecast by 1.4 percentage points relative to February and ongoing uncertainty over oil price trajectories, with key data releases through mid-year likely to sharpen the distribution between these leading outcomes.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in the U.K. over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Office for National Statistics (ONS).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly ONS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the ONS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases), currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by choosing the report for the relevant month from the previous releases page for price indices on the ONS website (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases). The relevant figure can be found in the "Consumer price inflation rates" table under the column labeled "CPI 12-month rate (%)" for the relevant month.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly ONS CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ons.gov.uk/releasecalendar
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly ONS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the ONS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases), currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by choosing the report for the relevant month from the previous releases page for price indices on the ONS website (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases). The relevant figure can be found in the "Consumer price inflation rates" table under the column labeled "CPI 12-month rate (%)" for the relevant month.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly ONS CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ons.gov.uk/releasecalendar
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 21, 2026, 7:24 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$4,329समाप्ति तिथि
20 जन, 2027बाज़ार खुला
Jan 21, 2026, 7:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in the U.K. over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Office for National Statistics (ONS).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly ONS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the ONS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases), currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by choosing the report for the relevant month from the previous releases page for price indices on the ONS website (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases). The relevant figure can be found in the "Consumer price inflation rates" table under the column labeled "CPI 12-month rate (%)" for the relevant month.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly ONS CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ons.gov.uk/releasecalendarRecent upside surprises in UK CPI, which reached 3.3% in March 2026 amid higher motor fuel and energy costs tied to Middle East tensions, have elevated trader expectations for the full-year 2026 average. Market-implied odds now cluster tightly around the 4.0-4.4% and 4.5%+ buckets, reflecting Bank of England scenario analysis that projects inflation holding near 3.3% through year-end before potential persistence above 3% into 2027 if second-round effects from wages and services intensify. This pricing incorporates the BoE’s upward revision of its Q3 2026 forecast by 1.4 percentage points relative to February and ongoing uncertainty over oil price trajectories, with key data releases through mid-year likely to sharpen the distribution between these leading outcomes.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in the U.K. over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Office for National Statistics (ONS).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly ONS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the ONS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases), currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by choosing the report for the relevant month from the previous releases page for price indices on the ONS website (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases). The relevant figure can be found in the "Consumer price inflation rates" table under the column labeled "CPI 12-month rate (%)" for the relevant month.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly ONS CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ons.gov.uk/releasecalendar
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly ONS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the ONS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases), currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by choosing the report for the relevant month from the previous releases page for price indices on the ONS website (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases). The relevant figure can be found in the "Consumer price inflation rates" table under the column labeled "CPI 12-month rate (%)" for the relevant month.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly ONS CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ons.gov.uk/releasecalendar
वॉल्यूम
$4,329समाप्ति तिथि
20 जन, 2027बाज़ार खुला
Jan 21, 2026, 7:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent upside surprises in UK CPI, which reached 3.3% in March 2026 amid higher motor fuel and energy costs tied to Middle East tensions, have elevated trader expectations for the full-year 2026 average. Market-implied odds now cluster tightly around the 4.0-4.4% and 4.5%+ buckets, reflecting Bank of England scenario analysis that projects inflation holding near 3.3% through year-end before potential persistence above 3% into 2027 if second-round effects from wages and services intensify. This pricing incorporates the BoE’s upward revision of its Q3 2026 forecast by 1.4 percentage points relative to February and ongoing uncertainty over oil price trajectories, with key data releases through mid-year likely to sharpen the distribution between these leading outcomes.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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