Recent weakness in Mexico's first-quarter GDP, which contracted 0.8 percent amid softer services and industrial output, has anchored trader sentiment toward subdued expansion in the April-June period. Official forecasts from Banxico and the finance ministry now cluster around 1.3–2.3 percent for full-year 2026, yet high-frequency indicators point to limited sequential momentum as U.S. demand faces tariff uncertainties and domestic consumption loses steam. Market-implied odds reflect this balance, with the 0.0–0.5 percent band holding a narrow lead at 45.5 percent while the 1.5–2.0 percent range trails at 37.5 percent, underscoring close contestation driven by nearshoring resilience versus downside risks from global energy prices and peso volatility. Upcoming INEGI releases and labor-market data through June remain the key swing factors shaping resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाMexico GDP growth in Q2 2026?
Mexico GDP growth in Q2 2026?
-0.5-0.0% 51%
0.5-1.0% 48%
1.5-2.0% 42%
1.0-1.5% 26%
नया
नया
30 जुल, 2026
<-0.5%
25%
-0.5-0.0%
28%
0.0-0.5%
46%
0.5-1.0%
27%
1.0-1.5%
26%
1.5-2.0%
42%
2.0-2.5%
11%
2.5%+
12%
-0.5-0.0% 51%
0.5-1.0% 48%
1.5-2.0% 42%
1.0-1.5% 26%
नया
नया
30 जुल, 2026
<-0.5%
$4 वॉल्यूम
25%
-0.5-0.0%
$24 वॉल्यूम
28%
0.0-0.5%
$11 वॉल्यूम
46%
0.5-1.0%
$6 वॉल्यूम
27%
1.0-1.5%
$2 वॉल्यूम
26%
1.5-2.0%
$0 वॉल्यूम
42%
2.0-2.5%
$0 वॉल्यूम
11%
2.5%+
$0 वॉल्यूम
12%
This market will resolve according to Mexico's Y/Y Growth Rate of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in the "Timely Estimate of Quarterly GDP" release for Q2 of 2026, scheduled for release on July 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent weakness in Mexico's first-quarter GDP, which contracted 0.8 percent amid softer services and industrial output, has anchored trader sentiment toward subdued expansion in the April-June period. Official forecasts from Banxico and the finance ministry now cluster around 1.3–2.3 percent for full-year 2026, yet high-frequency indicators point to limited sequential momentum as U.S. demand faces tariff uncertainties and domestic consumption loses steam. Market-implied odds reflect this balance, with the 0.0–0.5 percent band holding a narrow lead at 45.5 percent while the 1.5–2.0 percent range trails at 37.5 percent, underscoring close contestation driven by nearshoring resilience versus downside risks from global energy prices and peso volatility. Upcoming INEGI releases and labor-market data through June remain the key swing factors shaping resolution.
This market will resolve according to Mexico's Y/Y Growth Rate of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in the "Timely Estimate of Quarterly GDP" release for Q2 of 2026, scheduled for release on July 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.
बाज़ार खुला: May 4, 2026, 11:35 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$47समाप्ति तिथि
30 जुल, 2026बाज़ार खुला
May 4, 2026, 11:35 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to Mexico's Y/Y Growth Rate of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in the "Timely Estimate of Quarterly GDP" release for Q2 of 2026, scheduled for release on July 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent weakness in Mexico's first-quarter GDP, which contracted 0.8 percent amid softer services and industrial output, has anchored trader sentiment toward subdued expansion in the April-June period. Official forecasts from Banxico and the finance ministry now cluster around 1.3–2.3 percent for full-year 2026, yet high-frequency indicators point to limited sequential momentum as U.S. demand faces tariff uncertainties and domestic consumption loses steam. Market-implied odds reflect this balance, with the 0.0–0.5 percent band holding a narrow lead at 45.5 percent while the 1.5–2.0 percent range trails at 37.5 percent, underscoring close contestation driven by nearshoring resilience versus downside risks from global energy prices and peso volatility. Upcoming INEGI releases and labor-market data through June remain the key swing factors shaping resolution.
This market will resolve according to Mexico's Y/Y Growth Rate of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in the "Timely Estimate of Quarterly GDP" release for Q2 of 2026, scheduled for release on July 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.
वॉल्यूम
$47समाप्ति तिथि
30 जुल, 2026बाज़ार खुला
May 4, 2026, 11:35 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent weakness in Mexico's first-quarter GDP, which contracted 0.8 percent amid softer services and industrial output, has anchored trader sentiment toward subdued expansion in the April-June period. Official forecasts from Banxico and the finance ministry now cluster around 1.3–2.3 percent for full-year 2026, yet high-frequency indicators point to limited sequential momentum as U.S. demand faces tariff uncertainties and domestic consumption loses steam. Market-implied odds reflect this balance, with the 0.0–0.5 percent band holding a narrow lead at 45.5 percent while the 1.5–2.0 percent range trails at 37.5 percent, underscoring close contestation driven by nearshoring resilience versus downside risks from global energy prices and peso volatility. Upcoming INEGI releases and labor-market data through June remain the key swing factors shaping resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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