**Congressional efforts to enact comprehensive AI safety legislation have advanced in committee but face persistent partisan divisions, industry lobbying, and a compressed legislative calendar that make passage before 2027 improbable.** Multiple bipartisan proposals, including the FRONTIER Act and Senate drafts led by Sens. Klobuchar, Thune, and Cruz, have gained traction amid recent insider warnings about model risks, yet key House chairs have signaled reluctance to advance major bills this session or in a potential lame-duck period. President Trump has publicly opposed new regulation, while lawmakers cite disagreements over liability standards, preemption of state laws, and enforcement mechanisms as sticking points. With midterms approaching and limited floor time remaining, traders price the 87.5% probability of “No” to reflect these structural barriers rather than a complete absence of momentum.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाअमेरिका ने 2027 से पहले AI सुरक्षा बिल लागू किया है?
अमेरिका ने 2027 से पहले AI सुरक्षा बिल लागू किया है?
हाँ
13% संभावना
$124,828 वॉल्यूम
$124,828 वॉल्यूम
31 दिस, 2026
हाँ
13% संभावना
$124,828 वॉल्यूम
$124,828 वॉल्यूम
31 दिस, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a bill that includes at least one of the following provisions is signed into federal law in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Prohibition on Creation or Release: Forbids the creation or release of specific AI systems or models.
- Training Restrictions: Sets limits on how AI systems can be trained, such as restricting access to previously available training data or imposing a maximum limit on the number of parameters used for training.
- Usage Restrictions: Prevents AI systems from being used in certain applications, such as interacting with customers, interfacing with other applications, or performing actions on the web.
- Human-in-the-Loop Requirements: Requires AI systems to include mechanisms ensuring human oversight or involvement in their operation.
Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. **Congressional efforts to enact comprehensive AI safety legislation have advanced in committee but face persistent partisan divisions, industry lobbying, and a compressed legislative calendar that make passage before 2027 improbable.** Multiple bipartisan proposals, including the FRONTIER Act and Senate drafts led by Sens. Klobuchar, Thune, and Cruz, have gained traction amid recent insider warnings about model risks, yet key House chairs have signaled reluctance to advance major bills this session or in a potential lame-duck period. President Trump has publicly opposed new regulation, while lawmakers cite disagreements over liability standards, preemption of state laws, and enforcement mechanisms as sticking points. With midterms approaching and limited floor time remaining, traders price the 87.5% probability of “No” to reflect these structural barriers rather than a complete absence of momentum.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a bill that includes at least one of the following provisions is signed into federal law in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Prohibition on Creation or Release: Forbids the creation or release of specific AI systems or models.
- Training Restrictions: Sets limits on how AI systems can be trained, such as restricting access to previously available training data or imposing a maximum limit on the number of parameters used for training.
- Usage Restrictions: Prevents AI systems from being used in certain applications, such as interacting with customers, interfacing with other applications, or performing actions on the web.
- Human-in-the-Loop Requirements: Requires AI systems to include mechanisms ensuring human oversight or involvement in their operation.
Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
- Prohibition on Creation or Release: Forbids the creation or release of specific AI systems or models.
- Training Restrictions: Sets limits on how AI systems can be trained, such as restricting access to previously available training data or imposing a maximum limit on the number of parameters used for training.
- Usage Restrictions: Prevents AI systems from being used in certain applications, such as interacting with customers, interfacing with other applications, or performing actions on the web.
- Human-in-the-Loop Requirements: Requires AI systems to include mechanisms ensuring human oversight or involvement in their operation.
Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
बाज़ार खुला: Nov 12, 2025, 5:08 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$124,828समाप्ति तिथि
1 जन, 2027बाज़ार खुला
Nov 12, 2025, 5:08 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if a bill that includes at least one of the following provisions is signed into federal law in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Prohibition on Creation or Release: Forbids the creation or release of specific AI systems or models.
- Training Restrictions: Sets limits on how AI systems can be trained, such as restricting access to previously available training data or imposing a maximum limit on the number of parameters used for training.
- Usage Restrictions: Prevents AI systems from being used in certain applications, such as interacting with customers, interfacing with other applications, or performing actions on the web.
- Human-in-the-Loop Requirements: Requires AI systems to include mechanisms ensuring human oversight or involvement in their operation.
Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. **Congressional efforts to enact comprehensive AI safety legislation have advanced in committee but face persistent partisan divisions, industry lobbying, and a compressed legislative calendar that make passage before 2027 improbable.** Multiple bipartisan proposals, including the FRONTIER Act and Senate drafts led by Sens. Klobuchar, Thune, and Cruz, have gained traction amid recent insider warnings about model risks, yet key House chairs have signaled reluctance to advance major bills this session or in a potential lame-duck period. President Trump has publicly opposed new regulation, while lawmakers cite disagreements over liability standards, preemption of state laws, and enforcement mechanisms as sticking points. With midterms approaching and limited floor time remaining, traders price the 87.5% probability of “No” to reflect these structural barriers rather than a complete absence of momentum.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a bill that includes at least one of the following provisions is signed into federal law in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Prohibition on Creation or Release: Forbids the creation or release of specific AI systems or models.
- Training Restrictions: Sets limits on how AI systems can be trained, such as restricting access to previously available training data or imposing a maximum limit on the number of parameters used for training.
- Usage Restrictions: Prevents AI systems from being used in certain applications, such as interacting with customers, interfacing with other applications, or performing actions on the web.
- Human-in-the-Loop Requirements: Requires AI systems to include mechanisms ensuring human oversight or involvement in their operation.
Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
- Prohibition on Creation or Release: Forbids the creation or release of specific AI systems or models.
- Training Restrictions: Sets limits on how AI systems can be trained, such as restricting access to previously available training data or imposing a maximum limit on the number of parameters used for training.
- Usage Restrictions: Prevents AI systems from being used in certain applications, such as interacting with customers, interfacing with other applications, or performing actions on the web.
- Human-in-the-Loop Requirements: Requires AI systems to include mechanisms ensuring human oversight or involvement in their operation.
Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
वॉल्यूम
$124,828समाप्ति तिथि
1 जन, 2027बाज़ार खुला
Nov 12, 2025, 5:08 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x65070BE91...**Congressional efforts to enact comprehensive AI safety legislation have advanced in committee but face persistent partisan divisions, industry lobbying, and a compressed legislative calendar that make passage before 2027 improbable.** Multiple bipartisan proposals, including the FRONTIER Act and Senate drafts led by Sens. Klobuchar, Thune, and Cruz, have gained traction amid recent insider warnings about model risks, yet key House chairs have signaled reluctance to advance major bills this session or in a potential lame-duck period. President Trump has publicly opposed new regulation, while lawmakers cite disagreements over liability standards, preemption of state laws, and enforcement mechanisms as sticking points. With midterms approaching and limited floor time remaining, traders price the 87.5% probability of “No” to reflect these structural barriers rather than a complete absence of momentum.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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