Utah’s 4th congressional district maintains a clear Republican advantage heading into the November 2026 general election, driven by its conservative partisan lean under the recently court-ordered maps that placed the seat in western Utah counties including Tooele along with portions of Salt Lake and Utah counties. Forecasters rate the race Solid Republican or Safe Republican, reflecting the district’s historical voting patterns and the absence of a competitive Democratic challenge after the party’s primary was canceled. Traders assign the Republican nominee a commanding lead because structural factors such as the seat’s partisan voting index and limited crossover appeal have kept the contest noncompetitive. A major scandal involving the Republican candidate or an unexpected national Democratic surge could narrow the margin, though both remain low-probability events this far from Election Day.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाUT-04 House Election Winner
UT-04 House Election Winner
$15,038 वॉल्यूम
$15,038 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
Republican Party
91%
Democratic Party
9%
$15,038 वॉल्यूम
$15,038 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
Republican Party
$5,489 वॉल्यूम
91%
Democratic Party
$9,549 वॉल्यूम
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Utah’s 4th congressional district maintains a clear Republican advantage heading into the November 2026 general election, driven by its conservative partisan lean under the recently court-ordered maps that placed the seat in western Utah counties including Tooele along with portions of Salt Lake and Utah counties. Forecasters rate the race Solid Republican or Safe Republican, reflecting the district’s historical voting patterns and the absence of a competitive Democratic challenge after the party’s primary was canceled. Traders assign the Republican nominee a commanding lead because structural factors such as the seat’s partisan voting index and limited crossover appeal have kept the contest noncompetitive. A major scandal involving the Republican candidate or an unexpected national Democratic surge could narrow the margin, though both remain low-probability events this far from Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$15,038समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Utah’s 4th congressional district maintains a clear Republican advantage heading into the November 2026 general election, driven by its conservative partisan lean under the recently court-ordered maps that placed the seat in western Utah counties including Tooele along with portions of Salt Lake and Utah counties. Forecasters rate the race Solid Republican or Safe Republican, reflecting the district’s historical voting patterns and the absence of a competitive Democratic challenge after the party’s primary was canceled. Traders assign the Republican nominee a commanding lead because structural factors such as the seat’s partisan voting index and limited crossover appeal have kept the contest noncompetitive. A major scandal involving the Republican candidate or an unexpected national Democratic surge could narrow the margin, though both remain low-probability events this far from Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
वॉल्यूम
$15,038समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Utah’s 4th congressional district maintains a clear Republican advantage heading into the November 2026 general election, driven by its conservative partisan lean under the recently court-ordered maps that placed the seat in western Utah counties including Tooele along with portions of Salt Lake and Utah counties. Forecasters rate the race Solid Republican or Safe Republican, reflecting the district’s historical voting patterns and the absence of a competitive Democratic challenge after the party’s primary was canceled. Traders assign the Republican nominee a commanding lead because structural factors such as the seat’s partisan voting index and limited crossover appeal have kept the contest noncompetitive. A major scandal involving the Republican candidate or an unexpected national Democratic surge could narrow the margin, though both remain low-probability events this far from Election Day.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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