Heightened U.S.-Iran tensions over maritime access have driven recent naval activity through the Strait of Hormuz, with U.S. guided-missile destroyers completing multiple transits in early May as part of Project Freedom to escort merchant vessels and counter Iranian restrictions on shipping. The U.K. has pledged a Type 45 destroyer and supporting assets ahead of a potential 40-nation coalition mission, underscoring efforts to secure the chokepoint that handles roughly one-fifth of global oil trade. These developments have lifted tanker insurance premiums and contributed to volatility in energy benchmarks, as traders price in risks of further disruption ahead of the May 31 deadline. Additional coalition deployments or de-escalation signals represent the primary swing factors that could shift aggregated market sentiment in this multi-outcome event.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाWhich countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?
Which countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?
$1,008,928 वॉल्यूम
31 मई, 2026
United Kingdom
3%
France
4%
Germany
1%
Italy
1%
Netherlands
1%
Japan
<1%
Canada
<1%
India
2%
Greece
1%
Pakistan
1%
Saudi Arabia
2%
UAE
5%
Bahrain
1%
Qatar
1%
Kuwait
2%
Oman
2%
South Korea
<1%
Australia
<1%
$1,008,928 वॉल्यूम
United Kingdom
$162,951 वॉल्यूम
3%
France
$96,016 वॉल्यूम
4%
Germany
$166,771 वॉल्यूम
1%
Italy
$74,400 वॉल्यूम
1%
Netherlands
$50,968 वॉल्यूम
1%
Japan
$112,820 वॉल्यूम
<1%
Canada
$19,730 वॉल्यूम
<1%
India
$7,441 वॉल्यूम
2%
Greece
$18,404 वॉल्यूम
1%
Pakistan
$11,940 वॉल्यूम
1%
Saudi Arabia
$20,310 वॉल्यूम
2%
UAE
$2,840 वॉल्यूम
5%
Bahrain
$19,791 वॉल्यूम
1%
Qatar
$5,816 वॉल्यूम
1%
Kuwait
$3,325 वॉल्यूम
2%
Oman
$4,506 वॉल्यूम
2%
South Korea
$83,114 वॉल्यूम
<1%
Australia
$72,142 वॉल्यूम
<1%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a national government, its military, or a broad consensus of credible reporting confirms that the listed country's warships transited through the Strait of Hormuz between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A "warship transit" is defined as a military vessel passing through the Strait of Hormuz. Military cargo or support vessels will be considered “warships”; however, commercial or civilian vessels will not qualify.
For the purposes of this market, only transits through the Strait of Hormuz will be considered, defined as passage through the narrowest portion of the waterway between Iran and Oman. Operations solely in the Persian Gulf, Gulf of Oman, or Arabian Sea without passage through this narrowest section will not qualify.
Official confirmation by a national government or its military that its vessels transited through the Strait of Hormuz during the specified timeframe will resolve this market immediately. An overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that such a transit occurred during the specified timeframe will also suffice.
Qualifying confirmations include statements such as official announcements that a country has deployed naval vessels to transit or escort shipping through the Strait of Hormuz.
Confirmations referring only to naval presence in the broader region, including the Persian Gulf, Gulf of Oman, or Arabian Sea, without confirmed transit through the Strait itself, as well as aerial operations, cyber operations, or actions by proxies or third parties, will not alone qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information by the respective national governments or their militaries; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.Heightened U.S.-Iran tensions over maritime access have driven recent naval activity through the Strait of Hormuz, with U.S. guided-missile destroyers completing multiple transits in early May as part of Project Freedom to escort merchant vessels and counter Iranian restrictions on shipping. The U.K. has pledged a Type 45 destroyer and supporting assets ahead of a potential 40-nation coalition mission, underscoring efforts to secure the chokepoint that handles roughly one-fifth of global oil trade. These developments have lifted tanker insurance premiums and contributed to volatility in energy benchmarks, as traders price in risks of further disruption ahead of the May 31 deadline. Additional coalition deployments or de-escalation signals represent the primary swing factors that could shift aggregated market sentiment in this multi-outcome event.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a national government, its military, or a broad consensus of credible reporting confirms that the listed country's warships transited through the Strait of Hormuz between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A "warship transit" is defined as a military vessel passing through the Strait of Hormuz. Military cargo or support vessels will be considered “warships”; however, commercial or civilian vessels will not qualify.
For the purposes of this market, only transits through the Strait of Hormuz will be considered, defined as passage through the narrowest portion of the waterway between Iran and Oman. Operations solely in the Persian Gulf, Gulf of Oman, or Arabian Sea without passage through this narrowest section will not qualify.
Official confirmation by a national government or its military that its vessels transited through the Strait of Hormuz during the specified timeframe will resolve this market immediately. An overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that such a transit occurred during the specified timeframe will also suffice.
Qualifying confirmations include statements such as official announcements that a country has deployed naval vessels to transit or escort shipping through the Strait of Hormuz.
Confirmations referring only to naval presence in the broader region, including the Persian Gulf, Gulf of Oman, or Arabian Sea, without confirmed transit through the Strait itself, as well as aerial operations, cyber operations, or actions by proxies or third parties, will not alone qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information by the respective national governments or their militaries; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
A "warship transit" is defined as a military vessel passing through the Strait of Hormuz. Military cargo or support vessels will be considered “warships”; however, commercial or civilian vessels will not qualify.
For the purposes of this market, only transits through the Strait of Hormuz will be considered, defined as passage through the narrowest portion of the waterway between Iran and Oman. Operations solely in the Persian Gulf, Gulf of Oman, or Arabian Sea without passage through this narrowest section will not qualify.
Official confirmation by a national government or its military that its vessels transited through the Strait of Hormuz during the specified timeframe will resolve this market immediately. An overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that such a transit occurred during the specified timeframe will also suffice.
Qualifying confirmations include statements such as official announcements that a country has deployed naval vessels to transit or escort shipping through the Strait of Hormuz.
Confirmations referring only to naval presence in the broader region, including the Persian Gulf, Gulf of Oman, or Arabian Sea, without confirmed transit through the Strait itself, as well as aerial operations, cyber operations, or actions by proxies or third parties, will not alone qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information by the respective national governments or their militaries; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
बाज़ार खुला: May 5, 2026, 8:03 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$1,008,928समाप्ति तिथि
31 मई, 2026बाज़ार खुला
May 5, 2026, 8:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if a national government, its military, or a broad consensus of credible reporting confirms that the listed country's warships transited through the Strait of Hormuz between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A "warship transit" is defined as a military vessel passing through the Strait of Hormuz. Military cargo or support vessels will be considered “warships”; however, commercial or civilian vessels will not qualify.
For the purposes of this market, only transits through the Strait of Hormuz will be considered, defined as passage through the narrowest portion of the waterway between Iran and Oman. Operations solely in the Persian Gulf, Gulf of Oman, or Arabian Sea without passage through this narrowest section will not qualify.
Official confirmation by a national government or its military that its vessels transited through the Strait of Hormuz during the specified timeframe will resolve this market immediately. An overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that such a transit occurred during the specified timeframe will also suffice.
Qualifying confirmations include statements such as official announcements that a country has deployed naval vessels to transit or escort shipping through the Strait of Hormuz.
Confirmations referring only to naval presence in the broader region, including the Persian Gulf, Gulf of Oman, or Arabian Sea, without confirmed transit through the Strait itself, as well as aerial operations, cyber operations, or actions by proxies or third parties, will not alone qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information by the respective national governments or their militaries; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.Heightened U.S.-Iran tensions over maritime access have driven recent naval activity through the Strait of Hormuz, with U.S. guided-missile destroyers completing multiple transits in early May as part of Project Freedom to escort merchant vessels and counter Iranian restrictions on shipping. The U.K. has pledged a Type 45 destroyer and supporting assets ahead of a potential 40-nation coalition mission, underscoring efforts to secure the chokepoint that handles roughly one-fifth of global oil trade. These developments have lifted tanker insurance premiums and contributed to volatility in energy benchmarks, as traders price in risks of further disruption ahead of the May 31 deadline. Additional coalition deployments or de-escalation signals represent the primary swing factors that could shift aggregated market sentiment in this multi-outcome event.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a national government, its military, or a broad consensus of credible reporting confirms that the listed country's warships transited through the Strait of Hormuz between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A "warship transit" is defined as a military vessel passing through the Strait of Hormuz. Military cargo or support vessels will be considered “warships”; however, commercial or civilian vessels will not qualify.
For the purposes of this market, only transits through the Strait of Hormuz will be considered, defined as passage through the narrowest portion of the waterway between Iran and Oman. Operations solely in the Persian Gulf, Gulf of Oman, or Arabian Sea without passage through this narrowest section will not qualify.
Official confirmation by a national government or its military that its vessels transited through the Strait of Hormuz during the specified timeframe will resolve this market immediately. An overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that such a transit occurred during the specified timeframe will also suffice.
Qualifying confirmations include statements such as official announcements that a country has deployed naval vessels to transit or escort shipping through the Strait of Hormuz.
Confirmations referring only to naval presence in the broader region, including the Persian Gulf, Gulf of Oman, or Arabian Sea, without confirmed transit through the Strait itself, as well as aerial operations, cyber operations, or actions by proxies or third parties, will not alone qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information by the respective national governments or their militaries; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
A "warship transit" is defined as a military vessel passing through the Strait of Hormuz. Military cargo or support vessels will be considered “warships”; however, commercial or civilian vessels will not qualify.
For the purposes of this market, only transits through the Strait of Hormuz will be considered, defined as passage through the narrowest portion of the waterway between Iran and Oman. Operations solely in the Persian Gulf, Gulf of Oman, or Arabian Sea without passage through this narrowest section will not qualify.
Official confirmation by a national government or its military that its vessels transited through the Strait of Hormuz during the specified timeframe will resolve this market immediately. An overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that such a transit occurred during the specified timeframe will also suffice.
Qualifying confirmations include statements such as official announcements that a country has deployed naval vessels to transit or escort shipping through the Strait of Hormuz.
Confirmations referring only to naval presence in the broader region, including the Persian Gulf, Gulf of Oman, or Arabian Sea, without confirmed transit through the Strait itself, as well as aerial operations, cyber operations, or actions by proxies or third parties, will not alone qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information by the respective national governments or their militaries; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
वॉल्यूम
$1,008,928समाप्ति तिथि
31 मई, 2026बाज़ार खुला
May 5, 2026, 8:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Heightened U.S.-Iran tensions over maritime access have driven recent naval activity through the Strait of Hormuz, with U.S. guided-missile destroyers completing multiple transits in early May as part of Project Freedom to escort merchant vessels and counter Iranian restrictions on shipping. The U.K. has pledged a Type 45 destroyer and supporting assets ahead of a potential 40-nation coalition mission, underscoring efforts to secure the chokepoint that handles roughly one-fifth of global oil trade. These developments have lifted tanker insurance premiums and contributed to volatility in energy benchmarks, as traders price in risks of further disruption ahead of the May 31 deadline. Additional coalition deployments or de-escalation signals represent the primary swing factors that could shift aggregated market sentiment in this multi-outcome event.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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