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icon for NY -04 डेमोक्रेटिक प्राइमरी विनर

NY -04 डेमोक्रेटिक प्राइमरी विनर

icon for NY -04 डेमोक्रेटिक प्राइमरी विनर

NY -04 डेमोक्रेटिक प्राइमरी विनर

लौरा गिलन 86%

निकोलस सिरेटा 11%

टेलर डार्लिंग 4.5%

जियान जोन्स <1%

Polymarket

$18,925 वॉल्यूम

लौरा गिलन 86%

निकोलस सिरेटा 11%

टेलर डार्लिंग 4.5%

जियान जोन्स <1%

Polymarket

$18,925 वॉल्यूम

लौरा गिलन

$6,360 वॉल्यूम

86%

निकोलस सिरेटा

$8,783 वॉल्यूम

11%

टेलर डार्लिंग

$2,126 वॉल्यूम

5%

जियान जोन्स

$1,656 वॉल्यूम

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Laura Gillen holds a commanding lead in the New York 4th congressional district Democratic primary as the incumbent representative, benefiting from strong name recognition, substantial fundraising totals exceeding $2 million, and institutional support ahead of the June 23 vote. Her 2024 general election victory in the suburban Long Island seat has solidified her position within the party, limiting the impact of challenges from former state Assembly member Taylor Darling, who launched a bid in February citing disagreements over immigration enforcement funding. Lesser-known candidates Nicholas Sciretta and Gian Jones have not generated comparable visibility or resources, keeping the contest from emerging as a serious threat to the frontrunner. Trader consensus reflects these structural advantages and the absence of major recent shifts that could alter the outcome.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
वॉल्यूम
$18,925
समाप्ति तिथि
23 जून, 2026
बाज़ार खुला
Dec 1, 2025, 3:58 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Laura Gillen holds a commanding lead in the New York 4th congressional district Democratic primary as the incumbent representative, benefiting from strong name recognition, substantial fundraising totals exceeding $2 million, and institutional support ahead of the June 23 vote. Her 2024 general election victory in the suburban Long Island seat has solidified her position within the party, limiting the impact of challenges from former state Assembly member Taylor Darling, who launched a bid in February citing disagreements over immigration enforcement funding. Lesser-known candidates Nicholas Sciretta and Gian Jones have not generated comparable visibility or resources, keeping the contest from emerging as a serious threat to the frontrunner. Trader consensus reflects these structural advantages and the absence of major recent shifts that could alter the outcome.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
वॉल्यूम
$18,925
समाप्ति तिथि
23 जून, 2026
बाज़ार खुला
Dec 1, 2025, 3:58 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।

अक्सर पूछे जाने वाले प्रश्न

"NY -04 डेमोक्रेटिक प्राइमरी विनर" Polymarket पर 4 संभावित परिणामों वाला एक प्रेडिक्शन मार्केट है। वर्तमान में, लौरा गिलन 86% (86¢¢ प्रति शेयर) की implied probability के साथ आगे है, उसके बाद निकोलस सिरेटा 11% पर है।

आज तक, "NY -04 डेमोक्रेटिक प्राइमरी विनर" ने कुल $18.9K ट्रेडिंग वॉल्यूम उत्पन्न किया है जब से बाज़ार Dec 1, 2025 को लॉन्च हुआ। ट्रेडिंग गतिविधि का यह स्तर Polymarket समुदाय से मज़बूत जुड़ाव दर्शाता है और यह सुनिश्चित करने में मदद करता है कि वर्तमान संभावनाएँ बाज़ार प्रतिभागियों के गहरे पूल से सूचित हैं। आप इस पेज पर सीधे लाइव मूल्य गतिविधियाँ ट्रैक कर सकते हैं और किसी भी परिणाम पर ट्रेड कर सकते हैं।

"NY -04 डेमोक्रेटिक प्राइमरी विनर" पर ट्रेड करने के लिए, इस पेज पर सूचीबद्ध 4 उपलब्ध परिणाम ब्राउज़ करें। प्रत्येक परिणाम बाज़ार की निहित संभावना को दर्शाने वाली वर्तमान कीमत प्रदर्शित करता है। पोजीशन लेने के लिए, वह परिणाम चुनें जो आपको सबसे संभावित लगता है, उसके पक्ष में ट्रेड करने के लिए "हाँ" या विरुद्ध ट्रेड करने के लिए "नहीं" चुनें, अपनी राशि दर्ज करें, और "ट्रेड" पर क्लिक करें।

"NY -04 डेमोक्रेटिक प्राइमरी विनर" के लिए वर्तमान प्रबल दावेदार "लौरा गिलन" 86% पर है। निकटतम परिणाम "निकोलस सिरेटा" 11% पर है। ये संभावनाएँ रियल-टाइम में अपडेट होती हैं जैसे-जैसे ट्रेडर शेयर खरीदते और बेचते हैं।

"NY -04 डेमोक्रेटिक प्राइमरी विनर" के समाधान नियम ठीक-ठीक परिभाषित करते हैं कि प्रत्येक परिणाम को विजेता घोषित करने के लिए क्या होना चाहिए — जिसमें परिणाम निर्धारित करने के लिए उपयोग किए गए आधिकारिक डेटा स्रोत शामिल हैं। आप इस पेज पर टिप्पणियों के ऊपर "नियम" अनुभाग में पूर्ण समाधान मानदंड की समीक्षा कर सकते हैं।