Anthropic’s confidential S-1 filing on June 1, 2026, followed by rapid progress toward a public filing as soon as late August and a potential October listing, has established a clear lead over OpenAI. The company’s Q2 revenue of $11.5 billion and $65 billion annualized run rate have supported aggressive preparations with lead banks including Morgan Stanley, Goldman Sachs, and JPMorgan, while OpenAI’s CFO stated in an August all-hands meeting that the firm expects to become public in 2027, citing market conditions and a preference for flexibility after its own June 8 filing. This timeline gap, reinforced by Anthropic’s faster revenue trajectory and founder-control share structure plans, underpins the 95.5% market-implied probability. Unexpected SEC delays, sudden market volatility, or an accelerated OpenAI process remain possible but lack supporting signals in current filings and executive statements.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाएंथ्रॉपिक
96% संभावना
$316,120 वॉल्यूम
$316,120 वॉल्यूम
30 दिस, 2027
एंथ्रॉपिक
96% संभावना
$316,120 वॉल्यूम
$316,120 वॉल्यूम
30 दिस, 2027
This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic’s confidential S-1 filing on June 1, 2026, followed by rapid progress toward a public filing as soon as late August and a potential October listing, has established a clear lead over OpenAI. The company’s Q2 revenue of $11.5 billion and $65 billion annualized run rate have supported aggressive preparations with lead banks including Morgan Stanley, Goldman Sachs, and JPMorgan, while OpenAI’s CFO stated in an August all-hands meeting that the firm expects to become public in 2027, citing market conditions and a preference for flexibility after its own June 8 filing. This timeline gap, reinforced by Anthropic’s faster revenue trajectory and founder-control share structure plans, underpins the 95.5% market-implied probability. Unexpected SEC delays, sudden market volatility, or an accelerated OpenAI process remain possible but lack supporting signals in current filings and executive statements.
This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 30, 2026, 5:43 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$316,120समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2027बाज़ार खुला
Jan 30, 2026, 5:43 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic’s confidential S-1 filing on June 1, 2026, followed by rapid progress toward a public filing as soon as late August and a potential October listing, has established a clear lead over OpenAI. The company’s Q2 revenue of $11.5 billion and $65 billion annualized run rate have supported aggressive preparations with lead banks including Morgan Stanley, Goldman Sachs, and JPMorgan, while OpenAI’s CFO stated in an August all-hands meeting that the firm expects to become public in 2027, citing market conditions and a preference for flexibility after its own June 8 filing. This timeline gap, reinforced by Anthropic’s faster revenue trajectory and founder-control share structure plans, underpins the 95.5% market-implied probability. Unexpected SEC delays, sudden market volatility, or an accelerated OpenAI process remain possible but lack supporting signals in current filings and executive statements.
This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
वॉल्यूम
$316,120समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2027बाज़ार खुला
Jan 30, 2026, 5:43 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Anthropic’s confidential S-1 filing on June 1, 2026, followed by rapid progress toward a public filing as soon as late August and a potential October listing, has established a clear lead over OpenAI. The company’s Q2 revenue of $11.5 billion and $65 billion annualized run rate have supported aggressive preparations with lead banks including Morgan Stanley, Goldman Sachs, and JPMorgan, while OpenAI’s CFO stated in an August all-hands meeting that the firm expects to become public in 2027, citing market conditions and a preference for flexibility after its own June 8 filing. This timeline gap, reinforced by Anthropic’s faster revenue trajectory and founder-control share structure plans, underpins the 95.5% market-implied probability. Unexpected SEC delays, sudden market volatility, or an accelerated OpenAI process remain possible but lack supporting signals in current filings and executive statements.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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