Anthropic's accelerated IPO preparations, including its earlier confidential S-1 filing and plans to release a public prospectus shortly after Labor Day with a targeted late-September or early-October listing, have driven overwhelming trader consensus toward it debuting first. OpenAI's internal shift toward a 2027 timeline—stemming from its pursuit of a $1 trillion-plus valuation amid market volatility following other tech listings and substantial compute infrastructure commitments—has reinforced this positioning. While the 95.1% implied probability reflects strong alignment between filing timelines and executive signals, realistic variables such as extended SEC review, sudden shifts in AI sector sentiment, or unexpected capital raises could still compress or reverse the gap.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाएंथ्रॉपिक
$323,595 वॉल्यूम
$323,595 वॉल्यूम
एंथ्रॉपिक
$323,595 वॉल्यूम
$323,595 वॉल्यूम
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 30, 2026, 5:43 PM ET
रिज़ॉल्वर
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
रिज़ॉल्वर
0x65070BE91...Anthropic's accelerated IPO preparations, including its earlier confidential S-1 filing and plans to release a public prospectus shortly after Labor Day with a targeted late-September or early-October listing, have driven overwhelming trader consensus toward it debuting first. OpenAI's internal shift toward a 2027 timeline—stemming from its pursuit of a $1 trillion-plus valuation amid market volatility following other tech listings and substantial compute infrastructure commitments—has reinforced this positioning. While the 95.1% implied probability reflects strong alignment between filing timelines and executive signals, realistic variables such as extended SEC review, sudden shifts in AI sector sentiment, or unexpected capital raises could still compress or reverse the gap.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया

बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
अक्सर पूछे जाने वाले प्रश्न