Recent polling aggregates show the Parti Québécois holding a narrow lead near 29% amid a fragmented field of five viable parties, yet seat projections place it in the low-to-mid 40s—well short of the 64 needed for a majority. The Coalition Avenir Québec under new leader Christine Fréchette has narrowed the gap in late-August surveys by drawing support from Liberals, while high undecided rates near 50% and split federalist votes across ridings sustain volatility. PQ strength among francophones aids plurality chances, but the first-past-the-post system and multi-way contests in key regions limit majority prospects. Campaign developments such as leader debates, regional turnout shifts, or further CAQ consolidation could alter seat math before the October 5 vote.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया47% संभावना
नया
नया
5 अक्टू, 2026
47% संभावना
नया
नया
5 अक्टू, 2026
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Parti Québécois (PQ) wins at least 64 of the 127 seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Recent polling aggregates show the Parti Québécois holding a narrow lead near 29% amid a fragmented field of five viable parties, yet seat projections place it in the low-to-mid 40s—well short of the 64 needed for a majority. The Coalition Avenir Québec under new leader Christine Fréchette has narrowed the gap in late-August surveys by drawing support from Liberals, while high undecided rates near 50% and split federalist votes across ridings sustain volatility. PQ strength among francophones aids plurality chances, but the first-past-the-post system and multi-way contests in key regions limit majority prospects. Campaign developments such as leader debates, regional turnout shifts, or further CAQ consolidation could alter seat math before the October 5 vote.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Parti Québécois (PQ) wins at least 64 of the 127 seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Parti Québécois (PQ) wins at least 64 of the 127 seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 31, 2026, 3:43 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$71समाप्ति तिथि
5 अक्टू, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 31, 2026, 3:43 PM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://www.electionsquebec.qc.caरिज़ॉल्वर
0x65070BE91...Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Parti Québécois (PQ) wins at least 64 of the 127 seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Recent polling aggregates show the Parti Québécois holding a narrow lead near 29% amid a fragmented field of five viable parties, yet seat projections place it in the low-to-mid 40s—well short of the 64 needed for a majority. The Coalition Avenir Québec under new leader Christine Fréchette has narrowed the gap in late-August surveys by drawing support from Liberals, while high undecided rates near 50% and split federalist votes across ridings sustain volatility. PQ strength among francophones aids plurality chances, but the first-past-the-post system and multi-way contests in key regions limit majority prospects. Campaign developments such as leader debates, regional turnout shifts, or further CAQ consolidation could alter seat math before the October 5 vote.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Parti Québécois (PQ) wins at least 64 of the 127 seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Parti Québécois (PQ) wins at least 64 of the 127 seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
वॉल्यूम
$71समाप्ति तिथि
5 अक्टू, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 31, 2026, 3:43 PM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://www.electionsquebec.qc.caरिज़ॉल्वर
0x65070BE91...Recent polling aggregates show the Parti Québécois holding a narrow lead near 29% amid a fragmented field of five viable parties, yet seat projections place it in the low-to-mid 40s—well short of the 64 needed for a majority. The Coalition Avenir Québec under new leader Christine Fréchette has narrowed the gap in late-August surveys by drawing support from Liberals, while high undecided rates near 50% and split federalist votes across ridings sustain volatility. PQ strength among francophones aids plurality chances, but the first-past-the-post system and multi-way contests in key regions limit majority prospects. Campaign developments such as leader debates, regional turnout shifts, or further CAQ consolidation could alter seat math before the October 5 vote.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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