Recent polling shows the Parti Conservateur du Québec holding steady near 15-17% province-wide support ahead of the October 5 vote, with particular strength in the Quebec City region and parts of the Beauce where it leads or contends closely in multiple ridings under the first-past-the-post system. Seat projections from aggregators range from single digits to the mid-teens, reflecting variability in how efficiently PCQ votes translate amid competition from the CAQ and PQ. The spread in trader probabilities across the 8-10, 11-13, and 17+ seat bins stems from uncertainty over regional turnout, late-campaign shifts in francophone support, and the impact of candidate recruitment and platform emphasis on housing affordability, healthcare access, and reduced bureaucracy. Upcoming debates and final regional polls could narrow the range by clarifying PCQ’s path in key battlegrounds.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया8-10 25%
17+ सीटें 21.1%
11-13 21%
5-7 19%
नया
नया
5 अक्टू, 2026
<5
4%
5-7
16%
8-10
22%
11-13
21%
14-16
13%
17+ सीटें
18%
8-10 25%
17+ सीटें 21.1%
11-13 21%
5-7 19%
नया
नया
5 अक्टू, 2026
<5
$1,979 वॉल्यूम
4%
5-7
$838 वॉल्यूम
16%
8-10
$1,374 वॉल्यूम
22%
11-13
$1,439 वॉल्यूम
21%
14-16
$1,017 वॉल्यूम
13%
17+ सीटें
$1,072 वॉल्यूम
18%
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Parti conservateur du Québec (PCQ) in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Recent polling shows the Parti Conservateur du Québec holding steady near 15-17% province-wide support ahead of the October 5 vote, with particular strength in the Quebec City region and parts of the Beauce where it leads or contends closely in multiple ridings under the first-past-the-post system. Seat projections from aggregators range from single digits to the mid-teens, reflecting variability in how efficiently PCQ votes translate amid competition from the CAQ and PQ. The spread in trader probabilities across the 8-10, 11-13, and 17+ seat bins stems from uncertainty over regional turnout, late-campaign shifts in francophone support, and the impact of candidate recruitment and platform emphasis on housing affordability, healthcare access, and reduced bureaucracy. Upcoming debates and final regional polls could narrow the range by clarifying PCQ’s path in key battlegrounds.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Parti conservateur du Québec (PCQ) in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Parti conservateur du Québec (PCQ) in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 27, 2026, 8:14 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$7,719समाप्ति तिथि
5 अक्टू, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 27, 2026, 8:14 AM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://www.electionsquebec.qc.caरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Parti conservateur du Québec (PCQ) in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Recent polling shows the Parti Conservateur du Québec holding steady near 15-17% province-wide support ahead of the October 5 vote, with particular strength in the Quebec City region and parts of the Beauce where it leads or contends closely in multiple ridings under the first-past-the-post system. Seat projections from aggregators range from single digits to the mid-teens, reflecting variability in how efficiently PCQ votes translate amid competition from the CAQ and PQ. The spread in trader probabilities across the 8-10, 11-13, and 17+ seat bins stems from uncertainty over regional turnout, late-campaign shifts in francophone support, and the impact of candidate recruitment and platform emphasis on housing affordability, healthcare access, and reduced bureaucracy. Upcoming debates and final regional polls could narrow the range by clarifying PCQ’s path in key battlegrounds.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Parti conservateur du Québec (PCQ) in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Parti conservateur du Québec (PCQ) in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
वॉल्यूम
$7,719समाप्ति तिथि
5 अक्टू, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 27, 2026, 8:14 AM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://www.electionsquebec.qc.caरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling shows the Parti Conservateur du Québec holding steady near 15-17% province-wide support ahead of the October 5 vote, with particular strength in the Quebec City region and parts of the Beauce where it leads or contends closely in multiple ridings under the first-past-the-post system. Seat projections from aggregators range from single digits to the mid-teens, reflecting variability in how efficiently PCQ votes translate amid competition from the CAQ and PQ. The spread in trader probabilities across the 8-10, 11-13, and 17+ seat bins stems from uncertainty over regional turnout, late-campaign shifts in francophone support, and the impact of candidate recruitment and platform emphasis on housing affordability, healthcare access, and reduced bureaucracy. Upcoming debates and final regional polls could narrow the range by clarifying PCQ’s path in key battlegrounds.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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