Recent polls place the Parti libéral du Québec at 19-22% support, trailing the leading Parti Québécois while competing closely with the Coalition Avenir Québec and gaining ground from the rising Parti Conservateur du Québec. PLQ strength remains concentrated on Montreal Island and among non-francophone voters, but weaker francophone backing and suburban shifts limit broader gains ahead of the October 5 vote. Post-debate surveys show limited movement, with CAQ leader favorability declining and PCQ momentum narrowing the contest for second place. These patterns produce seat projections clustered near 30, reflected in trader consensus around the 28-35 range, where regional volatility and turnout among key voter blocs could still adjust final totals.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया28-31 35%
<28 27%
32-35 24%
36-39 5.5%
$25,118 वॉल्यूम
$25,118 वॉल्यूम
5 अक्टू, 2026
<28
27%
28-31
35%
32-35
24%
36-39
6%
40-43
2%
44+
2%
28-31 35%
<28 27%
32-35 24%
36-39 5.5%
$25,118 वॉल्यूम
$25,118 वॉल्यूम
5 अक्टू, 2026
<28
$4,654 वॉल्यूम
27%
28-31
$5,039 वॉल्यूम
35%
32-35
$7,007 वॉल्यूम
24%
36-39
$5,508 वॉल्यूम
6%
40-43
$1,501 वॉल्यूम
2%
44+
$1,408 वॉल्यूम
2%
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Parti libéral du Québec (PLQ) in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Recent polls place the Parti libéral du Québec at 19-22% support, trailing the leading Parti Québécois while competing closely with the Coalition Avenir Québec and gaining ground from the rising Parti Conservateur du Québec. PLQ strength remains concentrated on Montreal Island and among non-francophone voters, but weaker francophone backing and suburban shifts limit broader gains ahead of the October 5 vote. Post-debate surveys show limited movement, with CAQ leader favorability declining and PCQ momentum narrowing the contest for second place. These patterns produce seat projections clustered near 30, reflected in trader consensus around the 28-35 range, where regional volatility and turnout among key voter blocs could still adjust final totals.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Parti libéral du Québec (PLQ) in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Parti libéral du Québec (PLQ) in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 27, 2026, 8:15 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$25,118समाप्ति तिथि
5 अक्टू, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 27, 2026, 8:15 AM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://www.electionsquebec.qc.caरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Parti libéral du Québec (PLQ) in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Recent polls place the Parti libéral du Québec at 19-22% support, trailing the leading Parti Québécois while competing closely with the Coalition Avenir Québec and gaining ground from the rising Parti Conservateur du Québec. PLQ strength remains concentrated on Montreal Island and among non-francophone voters, but weaker francophone backing and suburban shifts limit broader gains ahead of the October 5 vote. Post-debate surveys show limited movement, with CAQ leader favorability declining and PCQ momentum narrowing the contest for second place. These patterns produce seat projections clustered near 30, reflected in trader consensus around the 28-35 range, where regional volatility and turnout among key voter blocs could still adjust final totals.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Parti libéral du Québec (PLQ) in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Parti libéral du Québec (PLQ) in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
वॉल्यूम
$25,118समाप्ति तिथि
5 अक्टू, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 27, 2026, 8:15 AM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://www.electionsquebec.qc.caरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...Recent polls place the Parti libéral du Québec at 19-22% support, trailing the leading Parti Québécois while competing closely with the Coalition Avenir Québec and gaining ground from the rising Parti Conservateur du Québec. PLQ strength remains concentrated on Montreal Island and among non-francophone voters, but weaker francophone backing and suburban shifts limit broader gains ahead of the October 5 vote. Post-debate surveys show limited movement, with CAQ leader favorability declining and PCQ momentum narrowing the contest for second place. These patterns produce seat projections clustered near 30, reflected in trader consensus around the 28-35 range, where regional volatility and turnout among key voter blocs could still adjust final totals.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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