Recent polling aggregates project the CAQ at roughly 22-23% support ahead of the October 5 vote, down sharply from its 2022 result and trailing the Parti Québécois. This places the incumbent in a competitive but diminished position across many ridings, with seat models centering near 21 MNAs and wide ranges reflecting numerous close contests, particularly versus the PQ. The tight market brackets stem from regional vote splits, the new 127-seat map, and variable efficiency in francophone and suburban areas, where CAQ incumbents retain pockets of strength while facing broader erosion linked to eight years in office and the leadership transition to Christine Fréchette. Late-campaign events such as the remaining leaders’ debates, shifts in turnout among key demographics, or developments around U.S. tariff pressures could alter riding-level outcomes and widen the distribution of possible seat totals.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया30+ 39%
20-24 35%
25-29 14%
<5 10.3%
$19,898 वॉल्यूम
$19,898 वॉल्यूम
5 अक्टू, 2026
<5
10%
5-9
8%
10-14
5%
15-19
6%
20-24
35%
25-29
14%
30+
39%
30+ 39%
20-24 35%
25-29 14%
<5 10.3%
$19,898 वॉल्यूम
$19,898 वॉल्यूम
5 अक्टू, 2026
<5
$1,264 वॉल्यूम
10%
5-9
$1,732 वॉल्यूम
8%
10-14
$3,438 वॉल्यूम
5%
15-19
$1,870 वॉल्यूम
6%
20-24
$3,506 वॉल्यूम
35%
25-29
$1,746 वॉल्यूम
14%
30+
$6,343 वॉल्यूम
39%
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Coalition Avenir Québec (CAQ) in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Recent polling aggregates project the CAQ at roughly 22-23% support ahead of the October 5 vote, down sharply from its 2022 result and trailing the Parti Québécois. This places the incumbent in a competitive but diminished position across many ridings, with seat models centering near 21 MNAs and wide ranges reflecting numerous close contests, particularly versus the PQ. The tight market brackets stem from regional vote splits, the new 127-seat map, and variable efficiency in francophone and suburban areas, where CAQ incumbents retain pockets of strength while facing broader erosion linked to eight years in office and the leadership transition to Christine Fréchette. Late-campaign events such as the remaining leaders’ debates, shifts in turnout among key demographics, or developments around U.S. tariff pressures could alter riding-level outcomes and widen the distribution of possible seat totals.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Coalition Avenir Québec (CAQ) in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Coalition Avenir Québec (CAQ) in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 27, 2026, 8:15 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$19,898समाप्ति तिथि
5 अक्टू, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 27, 2026, 8:15 AM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://www.electionsquebec.qc.caरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Coalition Avenir Québec (CAQ) in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Recent polling aggregates project the CAQ at roughly 22-23% support ahead of the October 5 vote, down sharply from its 2022 result and trailing the Parti Québécois. This places the incumbent in a competitive but diminished position across many ridings, with seat models centering near 21 MNAs and wide ranges reflecting numerous close contests, particularly versus the PQ. The tight market brackets stem from regional vote splits, the new 127-seat map, and variable efficiency in francophone and suburban areas, where CAQ incumbents retain pockets of strength while facing broader erosion linked to eight years in office and the leadership transition to Christine Fréchette. Late-campaign events such as the remaining leaders’ debates, shifts in turnout among key demographics, or developments around U.S. tariff pressures could alter riding-level outcomes and widen the distribution of possible seat totals.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Coalition Avenir Québec (CAQ) in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Coalition Avenir Québec (CAQ) in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
वॉल्यूम
$19,898समाप्ति तिथि
5 अक्टू, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 27, 2026, 8:15 AM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://www.electionsquebec.qc.caरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling aggregates project the CAQ at roughly 22-23% support ahead of the October 5 vote, down sharply from its 2022 result and trailing the Parti Québécois. This places the incumbent in a competitive but diminished position across many ridings, with seat models centering near 21 MNAs and wide ranges reflecting numerous close contests, particularly versus the PQ. The tight market brackets stem from regional vote splits, the new 127-seat map, and variable efficiency in francophone and suburban areas, where CAQ incumbents retain pockets of strength while facing broader erosion linked to eight years in office and the leadership transition to Christine Fréchette. Late-campaign events such as the remaining leaders’ debates, shifts in turnout among key demographics, or developments around U.S. tariff pressures could alter riding-level outcomes and widen the distribution of possible seat totals.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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