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icon for 3rd richest person on December 31?

3rd richest person on December 31?

icon for 3rd richest person on December 31?

3rd richest person on December 31?

Larry Page 40.4%

Elon Musk 29.9%

Warren Buffett 10.6%

Larry Ellison 9.7%

Polymarket

$23,517 Vol.

Larry Page 40.4%

Elon Musk 29.9%

Warren Buffett 10.6%

Larry Ellison 9.7%

Polymarket

$23,517 Vol.

icon for Larry Page

Larry Page

$6,629 Vol.

40%

icon for Elon Musk

Elon Musk

$306 Vol.

30%

icon for Warren Buffett

Warren Buffett

$806 Vol.

11%

icon for Larry Ellison

Larry Ellison

$338 Vol.

30%

icon for Bernard Arnault

Bernard Arnault

$267 Vol.

3%

icon for Jensen Huang

Jensen Huang

$715 Vol.

1%

icon for Steve Ballmer

Steve Ballmer

$13,218 Vol.

<1%

icon for Mark Zuckerberg

Mark Zuckerberg

$547 Vol.

<1%

icon for Jeff Bezos

Jeff Bezos

$320 Vol.

32%

icon for Sergey Brin

Sergey Brin

$371 Vol.

48%

This market will resolve according to the name ranked #3 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on December 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET. The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a razor-thin race for third-richest by December 31, 2026, with Sergey Brin holding a slim 46% implied probability edge over Larry Page at 42.6%, driven by Alphabet's explosive Q1 earnings rally in late April that propelled shares up 10% on surging Google Cloud revenue, vaulting Brin to current Forbes #3 at $300B while Page sits at #2 with $326B. Elon Musk leads overall at $826B but carries 40.8% odds for slipping to third amid Tesla's volatility, as Jeff Bezos ($274B, Amazon AWS momentum) and Larry Ellison ($244B, Oracle AI cloud gains) lurk closely at 36% and 34.3%. Key swings hinge on summer earnings reports, AI product rollouts, and tech stock trajectories through year-end.

This market will resolve according to the name ranked #3 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on December 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.
Volume
$23,517
Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Jan 30, 2026, 6:48 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the name ranked #3 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on December 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET. The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.
This market will resolve according to the name ranked #3 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on December 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET. The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a razor-thin race for third-richest by December 31, 2026, with Sergey Brin holding a slim 46% implied probability edge over Larry Page at 42.6%, driven by Alphabet's explosive Q1 earnings rally in late April that propelled shares up 10% on surging Google Cloud revenue, vaulting Brin to current Forbes #3 at $300B while Page sits at #2 with $326B. Elon Musk leads overall at $826B but carries 40.8% odds for slipping to third amid Tesla's volatility, as Jeff Bezos ($274B, Amazon AWS momentum) and Larry Ellison ($244B, Oracle AI cloud gains) lurk closely at 36% and 34.3%. Key swings hinge on summer earnings reports, AI product rollouts, and tech stock trajectories through year-end.

This market will resolve according to the name ranked #3 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on December 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.
Volume
$23,517
Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Jan 30, 2026, 6:48 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the name ranked #3 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on December 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET. The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.

Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.

Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"3rd richest person on December 31?" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 10 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "Sergey Brin" di 48%, diikuti oleh "Larry Page" di 40%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 48¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 48% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "3rd richest person on December 31?" telah menghasilkan $23.5K dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada Jan 30, 2026. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "3rd richest person on December 31?," jelajahi 10 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "3rd richest person on December 31?" adalah "Sergey Brin" di 48%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 48% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "Larry Page" di 40%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "3rd richest person on December 31?" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.