Skip to main content
icon for Argentina Presidential Election Winner
Politik·Argentina

Argentina Presidential Election Winner

icon for Argentina Presidential Election Winner
Politik·Argentina

Argentina Presidential Election Winner

Javier Milei 51%

Axel Kicillof 42%

Sergio Massa 4.5%

Myriam Bregman 1.2%

Polymarket

$526,668 Vol.

Javier Milei 51%

Axel Kicillof 42%

Sergio Massa 4.5%

Myriam Bregman 1.2%

Polymarket

$526,668 Vol.

icon for Javier Milei

Javier Milei

$137,932 Vol.

51%

icon for Axel Kicillof

Axel Kicillof

$101,738 Vol.

42%

icon for Sergio Massa

Sergio Massa

$46,537 Vol.

5%

icon for Myriam Bregman

Myriam Bregman

$34,852 Vol.

1%

icon for Dante Gebel

Dante Gebel

$33,479 Vol.

1%

icon for Juan Grabois

Juan Grabois

$30,430 Vol.

1%

icon for Victoria Villarruel

Victoria Villarruel

$28,437 Vol.

<1%

icon for Mauricio Macri

Mauricio Macri

$36,701 Vol.

<1%

icon for Esteban Bullrich

Esteban Bullrich

$24,510 Vol.

<1%

icon for Juan Schiaretti

Juan Schiaretti

$29,494 Vol.

<1%

icon for Facundo Manes

Facundo Manes

$22,558 Vol.

<1%

A presidential election scheduled to be held in Argentina on October 24, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Argentinian Presidential election. This market includes any potential second round. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by Argentina government sources, including the Cámara Nacional Electoral (https://www.electoral.gob.ar/nuevo/index.php) and the Dirección Nacional Electoral (https://www.argentina.gob.ar/dine).Javier Milei’s position as incumbent, following his 2023 victory and 2025 midterm gains that expanded La Libertad Avanza’s congressional presence, underpins his leading 51.5% market share for the 2027 contest. Traders weigh his record of fiscal austerity, inflation reduction from hyperinflationary levels, and labor reforms against recent approval declines tied to persistent price pressures, wage erosion, and corruption allegations involving aides. Axel Kicillof’s 40.5% reflects Peronist consolidation around the Buenos Aires governor, bolstered by provincial electoral strength and coalition-building efforts to unify opposition factions ahead of the October 2027 vote. Lower shares for Sergio Massa and others track their weaker polling and image ratings. Upcoming legislative dynamics and economic indicators through 2026 remain key variables that could shift these implied probabilities.

A presidential election scheduled to be held in Argentina on October 24, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Argentinian Presidential election.

This market includes any potential second round.

If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by Argentina government sources, including the Cámara Nacional Electoral (https://www.electoral.gob.ar/nuevo/index.php) and the Dirección Nacional Electoral (https://www.argentina.gob.ar/dine).
Volume
$526,668
Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 24, 2027
Pasar Dibuka
May 1, 2026, 5:56 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
A presidential election scheduled to be held in Argentina on October 24, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Argentinian Presidential election. This market includes any potential second round. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by Argentina government sources, including the Cámara Nacional Electoral (https://www.electoral.gob.ar/nuevo/index.php) and the Dirección Nacional Electoral (https://www.argentina.gob.ar/dine).
A presidential election scheduled to be held in Argentina on October 24, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Argentinian Presidential election. This market includes any potential second round. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by Argentina government sources, including the Cámara Nacional Electoral (https://www.electoral.gob.ar/nuevo/index.php) and the Dirección Nacional Electoral (https://www.argentina.gob.ar/dine).Javier Milei’s position as incumbent, following his 2023 victory and 2025 midterm gains that expanded La Libertad Avanza’s congressional presence, underpins his leading 51.5% market share for the 2027 contest. Traders weigh his record of fiscal austerity, inflation reduction from hyperinflationary levels, and labor reforms against recent approval declines tied to persistent price pressures, wage erosion, and corruption allegations involving aides. Axel Kicillof’s 40.5% reflects Peronist consolidation around the Buenos Aires governor, bolstered by provincial electoral strength and coalition-building efforts to unify opposition factions ahead of the October 2027 vote. Lower shares for Sergio Massa and others track their weaker polling and image ratings. Upcoming legislative dynamics and economic indicators through 2026 remain key variables that could shift these implied probabilities.

A presidential election scheduled to be held in Argentina on October 24, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Argentinian Presidential election.

This market includes any potential second round.

If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by Argentina government sources, including the Cámara Nacional Electoral (https://www.electoral.gob.ar/nuevo/index.php) and the Dirección Nacional Electoral (https://www.argentina.gob.ar/dine).
Volume
$526,668
Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 24, 2027
Pasar Dibuka
May 1, 2026, 5:56 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
A presidential election scheduled to be held in Argentina on October 24, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Argentinian Presidential election. This market includes any potential second round. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by Argentina government sources, including the Cámara Nacional Electoral (https://www.electoral.gob.ar/nuevo/index.php) and the Dirección Nacional Electoral (https://www.argentina.gob.ar/dine).

Terkait

icon for Apakah Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva akan memenangkan pemilihan presiden Brasil 2026?

Apakah Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva akan memenangkan pemilihan presiden Brasil 2026?

66%
Ya
icon for Will Bola Tinubu win the 2027 Nigerian Presidential Election?

Will Bola Tinubu win the 2027 Nigerian Presidential Election?

71%
icon for Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?

Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?

5%

Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.

Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Argentina Presidential Election Winner" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 11 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "Javier Milei" di 51%, diikuti oleh "Axel Kicillof" di 42%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 51¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 51% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "Argentina Presidential Election Winner" telah menghasilkan $526.7K dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada May 1, 2026. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "Argentina Presidential Election Winner," jelajahi 11 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "Argentina Presidential Election Winner" adalah "Javier Milei" di 51%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 51% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "Axel Kicillof" di 42%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Argentina Presidential Election Winner" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.