Traders assign a 76% implied probability to a SELIC rate decrease at the Banco Central do Brasil’s June 17 COPOM meeting, reflecting the continuation of the easing cycle that delivered consecutive 25-basis-point cuts to 14.50% in March and April. The primary driver remains the restrictive stance of monetary policy amid moderating GDP growth and resilient yet softening labor conditions, which support further calibration even as headline inflation and 2026 expectations hover above the 3% target midpoint. Geopolitical oil-price volatility from Middle East tensions has kept Copom data-dependent and hawkish in its April communications, capping no-change odds near 24% while virtually eliminating hike probabilities. The full April IPCA release and any fresh Focus survey shifts will serve as the key near-term catalysts shaping final positioning ahead of resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiBank of Brazil Decision in June?
Bank of Brazil Decision in June?
Decrease 76%
No Change 23.9%
Increase <1%
$140,217 Vol.
$140,217 Vol.
Jun 16, 2026
Increase
1%
No Change
24%
Decrease
76%
Decrease 76%
No Change 23.9%
Increase <1%
$140,217 Vol.
$140,217 Vol.
Jun 16, 2026
Increase
$41,318 Vol.
1%
No Change
$36,461 Vol.
24%
Decrease
$62,438 Vol.
76%
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the Selic rate as a result of the monetary policy decision of the Bank of Brazil's June 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Brazil after its June 2026 policy meeting, currently scheduled for June 15-16, as listed on the official Bank of Brazil calendar: https://www.bcb.gov.br/en/about/bcb-calendar
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Brazil's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Traders assign a 76% implied probability to a SELIC rate decrease at the Banco Central do Brasil’s June 17 COPOM meeting, reflecting the continuation of the easing cycle that delivered consecutive 25-basis-point cuts to 14.50% in March and April. The primary driver remains the restrictive stance of monetary policy amid moderating GDP growth and resilient yet softening labor conditions, which support further calibration even as headline inflation and 2026 expectations hover above the 3% target midpoint. Geopolitical oil-price volatility from Middle East tensions has kept Copom data-dependent and hawkish in its April communications, capping no-change odds near 24% while virtually eliminating hike probabilities. The full April IPCA release and any fresh Focus survey shifts will serve as the key near-term catalysts shaping final positioning ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the Selic rate as a result of the monetary policy decision of the Bank of Brazil's June 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Brazil after its June 2026 policy meeting, currently scheduled for June 15-16, as listed on the official Bank of Brazil calendar: https://www.bcb.gov.br/en/about/bcb-calendar
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Brazil's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Brazil after its June 2026 policy meeting, currently scheduled for June 15-16, as listed on the official Bank of Brazil calendar: https://www.bcb.gov.br/en/about/bcb-calendar
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Brazil's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Pasar Dibuka: Mar 24, 2026, 7:33 PM ET
Volume
$140,217Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 16, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Mar 24, 2026, 7:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the Selic rate as a result of the monetary policy decision of the Bank of Brazil's June 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Brazil after its June 2026 policy meeting, currently scheduled for June 15-16, as listed on the official Bank of Brazil calendar: https://www.bcb.gov.br/en/about/bcb-calendar
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Brazil's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Traders assign a 76% implied probability to a SELIC rate decrease at the Banco Central do Brasil’s June 17 COPOM meeting, reflecting the continuation of the easing cycle that delivered consecutive 25-basis-point cuts to 14.50% in March and April. The primary driver remains the restrictive stance of monetary policy amid moderating GDP growth and resilient yet softening labor conditions, which support further calibration even as headline inflation and 2026 expectations hover above the 3% target midpoint. Geopolitical oil-price volatility from Middle East tensions has kept Copom data-dependent and hawkish in its April communications, capping no-change odds near 24% while virtually eliminating hike probabilities. The full April IPCA release and any fresh Focus survey shifts will serve as the key near-term catalysts shaping final positioning ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the Selic rate as a result of the monetary policy decision of the Bank of Brazil's June 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Brazil after its June 2026 policy meeting, currently scheduled for June 15-16, as listed on the official Bank of Brazil calendar: https://www.bcb.gov.br/en/about/bcb-calendar
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Brazil's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Brazil after its June 2026 policy meeting, currently scheduled for June 15-16, as listed on the official Bank of Brazil calendar: https://www.bcb.gov.br/en/about/bcb-calendar
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Brazil's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Volume
$140,217Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 16, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Mar 24, 2026, 7:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders assign a 76% implied probability to a SELIC rate decrease at the Banco Central do Brasil’s June 17 COPOM meeting, reflecting the continuation of the easing cycle that delivered consecutive 25-basis-point cuts to 14.50% in March and April. The primary driver remains the restrictive stance of monetary policy amid moderating GDP growth and resilient yet softening labor conditions, which support further calibration even as headline inflation and 2026 expectations hover above the 3% target midpoint. Geopolitical oil-price volatility from Middle East tensions has kept Copom data-dependent and hawkish in its April communications, capping no-change odds near 24% while virtually eliminating hike probabilities. The full April IPCA release and any fresh Focus survey shifts will serve as the key near-term catalysts shaping final positioning ahead of resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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