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PolitikΒ·Pemilihan Umum Global

Pemilihan Presiden Kolombia

icon for Pemilihan Presiden Kolombia
PolitikΒ·Pemilihan Umum Global

Pemilihan Presiden Kolombia

Abelardo de la EspriellaΒ 44%

IvΓ‘n Cepeda CastroΒ 43%

Paloma ValenciaΒ 13.4%

Luis Gilberto Murillo (CRB)Β <1%

Polymarket

$29,265,121 Vol.

Abelardo de la EspriellaΒ 44%

IvΓ‘n Cepeda CastroΒ 43%

Paloma ValenciaΒ 13.4%

Luis Gilberto Murillo (CRB)Β <1%

Polymarket

$29,265,121 Vol.

icon for Abelardo de la Espriella

Abelardo de la Espriella

$1,163,748 Vol.

44%

icon for IvΓ‘n Cepeda Castro

IvΓ‘n Cepeda Castro

$1,011,391 Vol.

43%

icon for Paloma Valencia

Paloma Valencia

$1,217,750 Vol.

13%

icon for Luis Gilberto Murillo (CRB)

Luis Gilberto Murillo (CRB)

$1,794,198 Vol.

<1%

icon for Sergio Fajardo (DC)

Sergio Fajardo (DC)

$1,745,662 Vol.

<1%

icon for Roy Barreras

Roy Barreras

$1,150,589 Vol.

<1%

icon for Carlos Felipe CΓ³rdoba

Carlos Felipe CΓ³rdoba

$627,016 Vol.

<1%

icon for Vicky DΓ‘vila (IND)

Vicky DΓ‘vila (IND)

$2,857,367 Vol.

<1%

icon for Claudia LΓ³pez (IND)

Claudia LΓ³pez (IND)

$1,158,914 Vol.

<1%

icon for David Luna SΓ‘nchez (IND)

David Luna SΓ‘nchez (IND)

$1,819,055 Vol.

<1%

icon for Juan Daniel Oviedo (IND)

Juan Daniel Oviedo (IND)

$1,518,487 Vol.

<1%

icon for Gustavo BolΓ­var (HC)

Gustavo BolΓ­var (HC)

$5,762,070 Vol.

<1%

icon for Juan Manuel GalΓ‘n (NL)

Juan Manuel GalΓ‘n (NL)

$708,114 Vol.

<1%

icon for GermΓ‘n Vargas Lleras (RC)

GermΓ‘n Vargas Lleras (RC)

$1,782,319 Vol.

<1%

icon for Mauricio CΓ‘rdenas

Mauricio CΓ‘rdenas

$2,493,805 Vol.

<1%

icon for Daniel Quintero

Daniel Quintero

$694,239 Vol.

<1%

icon for Enrique PeΓ±alosa

Enrique PeΓ±alosa

$1,305,568 Vol.

<1%

icon for Juan Carlos PinzΓ³n

Juan Carlos PinzΓ³n

$430,214 Vol.

<1%

Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (RegistradurΓ­a Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).The closely matched odds among leading contenders reflect Colombia's polarized electorate as the May 31 first-round vote nears, with no frontrunner positioned to secure an outright majority and force a June 21 runoff between the top two. IvΓ‘n Cepeda's positioning as the Historic Pact standard-bearer for policy continuity competes against Abelardo de la Espriella's far-right emphasis on security measures and Paloma Valencia's center-right appeal tied to prior governance models. Recent campaign violence, including the killing of two workers supporting de la Espriella, has heightened risks for right-leaning candidates while underscoring broader concerns over stability. Voter consolidation in key regions and any late shifts in turnout or coalition alignments could quickly widen gaps ahead of the ballot.

Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.

This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (RegistradurΓ­a Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
Volume
$29,265,121
Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 21, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Jul 29, 2025, 1:17 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (RegistradurΓ­a Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (RegistradurΓ­a Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).The closely matched odds among leading contenders reflect Colombia's polarized electorate as the May 31 first-round vote nears, with no frontrunner positioned to secure an outright majority and force a June 21 runoff between the top two. IvΓ‘n Cepeda's positioning as the Historic Pact standard-bearer for policy continuity competes against Abelardo de la Espriella's far-right emphasis on security measures and Paloma Valencia's center-right appeal tied to prior governance models. Recent campaign violence, including the killing of two workers supporting de la Espriella, has heightened risks for right-leaning candidates while underscoring broader concerns over stability. Voter consolidation in key regions and any late shifts in turnout or coalition alignments could quickly widen gaps ahead of the ballot.

Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.

This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (RegistradurΓ­a Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
Volume
$29,265,121
Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 21, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Jul 29, 2025, 1:17 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (RegistradurΓ­a Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Pemilihan Presiden Kolombia" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 19 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "Abelardo de la Espriella" di 44%, diikuti oleh "IvΓ‘n Cepeda Castro" di 43%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 44Β’ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 44% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "Pemilihan Presiden Kolombia" telah menghasilkan $29.3 million dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada Jul 29, 2025. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "Pemilihan Presiden Kolombia," jelajahi 19 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "Pemilihan Presiden Kolombia" adalah "Abelardo de la Espriella" di 44%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 44% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "IvΓ‘n Cepeda Castro" di 43%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Pemilihan Presiden Kolombia" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang β€” termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.