Colorado's entrenched Democratic dominance in gubernatorial races—unbroken since Republicans last won in 2002—anchors trader consensus at 92% implied probability for a Democratic winner in the November 3, 2026, open-seat contest following term-limited Gov. Jared Polis. The competitive Democratic primary on June 30 features U.S. Sen. Michael Bennet against Attorney General Phil Weiser, who secured top ballot placement at the party assembly, bolstering the field's strength with two statewide officeholders. In contrast, the fragmented Republican primary pits state Rep. Scott Bottoms, state Sen. Barbara Kirkmeyer, and ministry leader Victor Marx, whose recent debate underscored limited breakout potential amid Cook Political Report's Solid D rating. Absent general election polls, odds reflect historical partisan leanings; disruptions like a major Democratic scandal, GOP nominee surge post-primary, or national Republican wave could narrow the gap.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui$11,337 Vol.
$11,337 Vol.

Democrat
92%

Republican
9%
$11,337 Vol.
$11,337 Vol.

Democrat
92%

Republican
9%
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Pasar Dibuka: Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Colorado's entrenched Democratic dominance in gubernatorial races—unbroken since Republicans last won in 2002—anchors trader consensus at 92% implied probability for a Democratic winner in the November 3, 2026, open-seat contest following term-limited Gov. Jared Polis. The competitive Democratic primary on June 30 features U.S. Sen. Michael Bennet against Attorney General Phil Weiser, who secured top ballot placement at the party assembly, bolstering the field's strength with two statewide officeholders. In contrast, the fragmented Republican primary pits state Rep. Scott Bottoms, state Sen. Barbara Kirkmeyer, and ministry leader Victor Marx, whose recent debate underscored limited breakout potential amid Cook Political Report's Solid D rating. Absent general election polls, odds reflect historical partisan leanings; disruptions like a major Democratic scandal, GOP nominee surge post-primary, or national Republican wave could narrow the gap.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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