Incumbent Democratic Rep. Jahana Hayes holds a commanding position in the CT-05 race, reflected in trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 93.8% versus 5.5% for the Republican. The district carries a D+3 Partisan Voter Index and has remained in Democratic hands since 2018, with Hayes securing reelection by a 7-point margin in 2024. Her unopposed Democratic primary in August 2026 reinforces unified party support ahead of the November general election. Republican nominee Chris Shea faces structural headwinds in a district where the party has not prevailed since 2006. Factors that could narrow the gap include a national Republican surge, unusually high GOP turnout in suburban and rural areas, or late-cycle developments affecting Hayes, though current ratings from Cook Political Report and others classify the seat as solid or likely Democratic.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiCT-05 House Election Winner
CT-05 House Election Winner
BARU
BARU
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
94%
Republican Party
5%
BARU
BARU
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
$3,565 Vol.
94%
Republican Party
$2,782 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democratic Rep. Jahana Hayes holds a commanding position in the CT-05 race, reflected in trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 93.8% versus 5.5% for the Republican. The district carries a D+3 Partisan Voter Index and has remained in Democratic hands since 2018, with Hayes securing reelection by a 7-point margin in 2024. Her unopposed Democratic primary in August 2026 reinforces unified party support ahead of the November general election. Republican nominee Chris Shea faces structural headwinds in a district where the party has not prevailed since 2006. Factors that could narrow the gap include a national Republican surge, unusually high GOP turnout in suburban and rural areas, or late-cycle developments affecting Hayes, though current ratings from Cook Political Report and others classify the seat as solid or likely Democratic.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Pasar Dibuka: Dec 16, 2025, 11:47 AM ET
Volume
$6,347Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 4, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Dec 16, 2025, 11:47 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democratic Rep. Jahana Hayes holds a commanding position in the CT-05 race, reflected in trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 93.8% versus 5.5% for the Republican. The district carries a D+3 Partisan Voter Index and has remained in Democratic hands since 2018, with Hayes securing reelection by a 7-point margin in 2024. Her unopposed Democratic primary in August 2026 reinforces unified party support ahead of the November general election. Republican nominee Chris Shea faces structural headwinds in a district where the party has not prevailed since 2006. Factors that could narrow the gap include a national Republican surge, unusually high GOP turnout in suburban and rural areas, or late-cycle developments affecting Hayes, though current ratings from Cook Political Report and others classify the seat as solid or likely Democratic.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$6,347Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 4, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Dec 16, 2025, 11:47 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democratic Rep. Jahana Hayes holds a commanding position in the CT-05 race, reflected in trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 93.8% versus 5.5% for the Republican. The district carries a D+3 Partisan Voter Index and has remained in Democratic hands since 2018, with Hayes securing reelection by a 7-point margin in 2024. Her unopposed Democratic primary in August 2026 reinforces unified party support ahead of the November general election. Republican nominee Chris Shea faces structural headwinds in a district where the party has not prevailed since 2006. Factors that could narrow the gap include a national Republican surge, unusually high GOP turnout in suburban and rural areas, or late-cycle developments affecting Hayes, though current ratings from Cook Political Report and others classify the seat as solid or likely Democratic.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan