Trader consensus favors Republicans at 69% to hold South Carolina's 1st Congressional District, an open seat with Cook PVI R+6 rated Solid Republican, following incumbent Nancy Mace's run for governor. Strong GOP primary fundraising leaders like Sam McCown ($1.5 million raised) and Mark Smith, who topped an April GOP forum straw poll at 34%, signal field consolidation ahead of the June 9 primary, bolstering hold probabilities despite a crowded 12-candidate ballot. Democrats, led in cash by Nancy Lacore ($1 million receipts) amid eight contenders, trail in a fragmented race, though DCCC targeted it as competitive. This week, the state Senate rejected a redistricting proposal to redraw maps and delay primaries, preserving the favorable lines and steadying odds.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiSC-01 House Election Winner
SC-01 House Election Winner
$36,515 Vol.
$36,515 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
68%
Democratic Party
31%
$36,515 Vol.
$36,515 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$6,605 Vol.
68%
Democratic Party
$29,910 Vol.
31%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus favors Republicans at 69% to hold South Carolina's 1st Congressional District, an open seat with Cook PVI R+6 rated Solid Republican, following incumbent Nancy Mace's run for governor. Strong GOP primary fundraising leaders like Sam McCown ($1.5 million raised) and Mark Smith, who topped an April GOP forum straw poll at 34%, signal field consolidation ahead of the June 9 primary, bolstering hold probabilities despite a crowded 12-candidate ballot. Democrats, led in cash by Nancy Lacore ($1 million receipts) amid eight contenders, trail in a fragmented race, though DCCC targeted it as competitive. This week, the state Senate rejected a redistricting proposal to redraw maps and delay primaries, preserving the favorable lines and steadying odds.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Pasar Dibuka: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volume
$36,515Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus favors Republicans at 69% to hold South Carolina's 1st Congressional District, an open seat with Cook PVI R+6 rated Solid Republican, following incumbent Nancy Mace's run for governor. Strong GOP primary fundraising leaders like Sam McCown ($1.5 million raised) and Mark Smith, who topped an April GOP forum straw poll at 34%, signal field consolidation ahead of the June 9 primary, bolstering hold probabilities despite a crowded 12-candidate ballot. Democrats, led in cash by Nancy Lacore ($1 million receipts) amid eight contenders, trail in a fragmented race, though DCCC targeted it as competitive. This week, the state Senate rejected a redistricting proposal to redraw maps and delay primaries, preserving the favorable lines and steadying odds.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$36,515Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus favors Republicans at 69% to hold South Carolina's 1st Congressional District, an open seat with Cook PVI R+6 rated Solid Republican, following incumbent Nancy Mace's run for governor. Strong GOP primary fundraising leaders like Sam McCown ($1.5 million raised) and Mark Smith, who topped an April GOP forum straw poll at 34%, signal field consolidation ahead of the June 9 primary, bolstering hold probabilities despite a crowded 12-candidate ballot. Democrats, led in cash by Nancy Lacore ($1 million receipts) amid eight contenders, trail in a fragmented race, though DCCC targeted it as competitive. This week, the state Senate rejected a redistricting proposal to redraw maps and delay primaries, preserving the favorable lines and steadying odds.
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