Elon Musk’s established posting rhythm on X, typically 15–25 tweets per day during routine stretches without major launches or controversies, anchors trader consensus around the 40-64 and 65-89 brackets for the three-day window. Recent comparable periods, including June 8–10 with 49 total posts and a daily average near 25, reinforce expectations of steady mid-range output rather than elevated volume. The absence of scheduled catalysts—such as product reveals, regulatory announcements, or high-profile replies—keeps higher buckets at low implied probabilities, while the weekend timing of June 13 introduces modest moderation risk that supports the sub-40 outcome at 6.5%. Market-implied odds reflect skin-in-the-game assessment of consistent daily cadence absent fresh momentum drivers.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui40-64 51%
65-89 36%
<40 7%
90-114 5.8%
BARU
$66,201 Vol.
BARU
$66,201 Vol.
Jun 13, 2026
<40
7%
40-64
51%
65-89
36%
90-114
6%
115-139
1%
140-164
<1%
165-189
<1%
190-214
<1%
215-239
<1%
240+
<1%
40-64 51%
65-89 36%
<40 7%
90-114 5.8%
BARU
$66,201 Vol.
BARU
$66,201 Vol.
Jun 13, 2026
<40
$10,236 Vol.
7%
40-64
$636 Vol.
51%
65-89
$1,616 Vol.
36%
90-114
$2,496 Vol.
6%
115-139
$3,728 Vol.
1%
140-164
$10,919 Vol.
<1%
165-189
$9,146 Vol.
<1%
190-214
$14,402 Vol.
<1%
215-239
$5,697 Vol.
<1%
240+
$7,339 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from June 11 12:00 PM ET to June 13, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk’s established posting rhythm on X, typically 15–25 tweets per day during routine stretches without major launches or controversies, anchors trader consensus around the 40-64 and 65-89 brackets for the three-day window. Recent comparable periods, including June 8–10 with 49 total posts and a daily average near 25, reinforce expectations of steady mid-range output rather than elevated volume. The absence of scheduled catalysts—such as product reveals, regulatory announcements, or high-profile replies—keeps higher buckets at low implied probabilities, while the weekend timing of June 13 introduces modest moderation risk that supports the sub-40 outcome at 6.5%. Market-implied odds reflect skin-in-the-game assessment of consistent daily cadence absent fresh momentum drivers.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from June 11 12:00 PM ET to June 13, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Pasar Dibuka: Jun 8, 2026, 12:01 PM ET
Volume
$66,201Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 13, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jun 8, 2026, 12:01 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from June 11 12:00 PM ET to June 13, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk’s established posting rhythm on X, typically 15–25 tweets per day during routine stretches without major launches or controversies, anchors trader consensus around the 40-64 and 65-89 brackets for the three-day window. Recent comparable periods, including June 8–10 with 49 total posts and a daily average near 25, reinforce expectations of steady mid-range output rather than elevated volume. The absence of scheduled catalysts—such as product reveals, regulatory announcements, or high-profile replies—keeps higher buckets at low implied probabilities, while the weekend timing of June 13 introduces modest moderation risk that supports the sub-40 outcome at 6.5%. Market-implied odds reflect skin-in-the-game assessment of consistent daily cadence absent fresh momentum drivers.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from June 11 12:00 PM ET to June 13, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$66,201Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 13, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jun 8, 2026, 12:01 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Elon Musk’s established posting rhythm on X, typically 15–25 tweets per day during routine stretches without major launches or controversies, anchors trader consensus around the 40-64 and 65-89 brackets for the three-day window. Recent comparable periods, including June 8–10 with 49 total posts and a daily average near 25, reinforce expectations of steady mid-range output rather than elevated volume. The absence of scheduled catalysts—such as product reveals, regulatory announcements, or high-profile replies—keeps higher buckets at low implied probabilities, while the weekend timing of June 13 introduces modest moderation risk that supports the sub-40 outcome at 6.5%. Market-implied odds reflect skin-in-the-game assessment of consistent daily cadence absent fresh momentum drivers.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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