**Zohran Mamdani, New York City mayor, launched the recurring Twitch series “Talk with the People” on May 21 to field real-time questions from residents, with at least one additional stream occurring around early June.** As of June 10, no further livestream on the official channel has been announced for the narrow window ending June 12. Official mayoral activity in the preceding days has centered on community roundtables, a June 10 “Wear Blue and Orange Day” proclamation, and coordination of FIFA World Cup 2026 fan zones and watch parties scheduled through late June. Traders appear to view these scheduled public duties, combined with the absence of any confirmed Twitch date in the next 48 hours, as the dominant factors supporting the 84% probability assigned to “No.” The market resolves on whether a live stream occurs on the designated channel by the deadline, regardless of other platforms.