Recent Senate receipt of President Trump’s June 8 nomination for acting Attorney General Todd Blanche has produced closely matched trader probabilities between a narrow confirmation around 55 votes and a withdrawal or failure to reach a floor vote by year-end. Blanche’s prior 52-46 confirmation as deputy attorney general and the GOP’s slim majority create a narrow path that requires near-unanimous Republican support, with Democrats uniformly opposed. Concerns among some Republican senators over a proposed $1.8 billion DOJ compensation fund and broader Justice Department actions have introduced uncertainty about defections. The Senate Judiciary Committee is scheduled to hold hearings after the July recess, with confirmation targeted for late summer. Any public statements from key Republican holdouts or procedural delays could quickly shift the vote totals reflected in current pricing.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui49 79%
54 79%
52 7%
58+ 3.5%
BARU
BARU
Jan 1, 2027
≤46
1%
47
1%
48
1%
49
79%
50
1%
51
1%
52
7%
53
3%
54
79%
55
44%
56
44%
57
32%
58+
3%
No vote by Dec 31/Withdrawn
49%
49 79%
54 79%
52 7%
58+ 3.5%
BARU
BARU
Jan 1, 2027
≤46
$28 Vol.
1%
47
$38 Vol.
1%
48
$28 Vol.
1%
49
$20 Vol.
79%
50
$38 Vol.
1%
51
$28 Vol.
1%
52
$38 Vol.
7%
53
$25 Vol.
3%
54
$43 Vol.
79%
55
$55 Vol.
44%
56
$63 Vol.
44%
57
$68 Vol.
32%
58+
$38 Vol.
3%
No vote by Dec 31/Withdrawn
$43 Vol.
49%
This market will resolve to the number of senators who vote “Yea” on the first final U.S. Senate confirmation vote on the nomination of Todd Blanche to be United States Attorney General by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The vote count refers to the first final confirmation vote on the nomination in the full chamber, not including committee votes or procedural motions.
If the nomination passes unanimously or without a specified vote count, this market will resolve to the highest bracket. If the nomination is rejected by vote without a specified vote count, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If no qualifying vote is held by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No vote by December 31/Withdrawn”. If a formally submitted nomination is withdrawn or returned to the President before reaching a final confirmation vote, this market will resolve immediately to “No vote by December 31/Withdrawn”.
Votes cast by the Vice President, if any, will not be considered for this market.
No attempts by a legislator to change their vote after the vote has been closed shall be considered for this market.
The resolution sources will be official Senate voting records and a consensus of credible reporting.Recent Senate receipt of President Trump’s June 8 nomination for acting Attorney General Todd Blanche has produced closely matched trader probabilities between a narrow confirmation around 55 votes and a withdrawal or failure to reach a floor vote by year-end. Blanche’s prior 52-46 confirmation as deputy attorney general and the GOP’s slim majority create a narrow path that requires near-unanimous Republican support, with Democrats uniformly opposed. Concerns among some Republican senators over a proposed $1.8 billion DOJ compensation fund and broader Justice Department actions have introduced uncertainty about defections. The Senate Judiciary Committee is scheduled to hold hearings after the July recess, with confirmation targeted for late summer. Any public statements from key Republican holdouts or procedural delays could quickly shift the vote totals reflected in current pricing.
This market will resolve to the number of senators who vote “Yea” on the first final U.S. Senate confirmation vote on the nomination of Todd Blanche to be United States Attorney General by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The vote count refers to the first final confirmation vote on the nomination in the full chamber, not including committee votes or procedural motions.
If the nomination passes unanimously or without a specified vote count, this market will resolve to the highest bracket. If the nomination is rejected by vote without a specified vote count, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If no qualifying vote is held by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No vote by December 31/Withdrawn”. If a formally submitted nomination is withdrawn or returned to the President before reaching a final confirmation vote, this market will resolve immediately to “No vote by December 31/Withdrawn”.
Votes cast by the Vice President, if any, will not be considered for this market.
No attempts by a legislator to change their vote after the vote has been closed shall be considered for this market.
The resolution sources will be official Senate voting records and a consensus of credible reporting.
The vote count refers to the first final confirmation vote on the nomination in the full chamber, not including committee votes or procedural motions.
If the nomination passes unanimously or without a specified vote count, this market will resolve to the highest bracket. If the nomination is rejected by vote without a specified vote count, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If no qualifying vote is held by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No vote by December 31/Withdrawn”. If a formally submitted nomination is withdrawn or returned to the President before reaching a final confirmation vote, this market will resolve immediately to “No vote by December 31/Withdrawn”.
Votes cast by the Vice President, if any, will not be considered for this market.
No attempts by a legislator to change their vote after the vote has been closed shall be considered for this market.
The resolution sources will be official Senate voting records and a consensus of credible reporting.
Pasar Dibuka: Jun 9, 2026, 10:12 PM ET
Volume
$549Tanggal Berakhir
Jan 1, 2027Pasar Dibuka
Jun 9, 2026, 10:12 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the number of senators who vote “Yea” on the first final U.S. Senate confirmation vote on the nomination of Todd Blanche to be United States Attorney General by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The vote count refers to the first final confirmation vote on the nomination in the full chamber, not including committee votes or procedural motions.
If the nomination passes unanimously or without a specified vote count, this market will resolve to the highest bracket. If the nomination is rejected by vote without a specified vote count, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If no qualifying vote is held by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No vote by December 31/Withdrawn”. If a formally submitted nomination is withdrawn or returned to the President before reaching a final confirmation vote, this market will resolve immediately to “No vote by December 31/Withdrawn”.
Votes cast by the Vice President, if any, will not be considered for this market.
No attempts by a legislator to change their vote after the vote has been closed shall be considered for this market.
The resolution sources will be official Senate voting records and a consensus of credible reporting.Recent Senate receipt of President Trump’s June 8 nomination for acting Attorney General Todd Blanche has produced closely matched trader probabilities between a narrow confirmation around 55 votes and a withdrawal or failure to reach a floor vote by year-end. Blanche’s prior 52-46 confirmation as deputy attorney general and the GOP’s slim majority create a narrow path that requires near-unanimous Republican support, with Democrats uniformly opposed. Concerns among some Republican senators over a proposed $1.8 billion DOJ compensation fund and broader Justice Department actions have introduced uncertainty about defections. The Senate Judiciary Committee is scheduled to hold hearings after the July recess, with confirmation targeted for late summer. Any public statements from key Republican holdouts or procedural delays could quickly shift the vote totals reflected in current pricing.
This market will resolve to the number of senators who vote “Yea” on the first final U.S. Senate confirmation vote on the nomination of Todd Blanche to be United States Attorney General by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The vote count refers to the first final confirmation vote on the nomination in the full chamber, not including committee votes or procedural motions.
If the nomination passes unanimously or without a specified vote count, this market will resolve to the highest bracket. If the nomination is rejected by vote without a specified vote count, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If no qualifying vote is held by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No vote by December 31/Withdrawn”. If a formally submitted nomination is withdrawn or returned to the President before reaching a final confirmation vote, this market will resolve immediately to “No vote by December 31/Withdrawn”.
Votes cast by the Vice President, if any, will not be considered for this market.
No attempts by a legislator to change their vote after the vote has been closed shall be considered for this market.
The resolution sources will be official Senate voting records and a consensus of credible reporting.
The vote count refers to the first final confirmation vote on the nomination in the full chamber, not including committee votes or procedural motions.
If the nomination passes unanimously or without a specified vote count, this market will resolve to the highest bracket. If the nomination is rejected by vote without a specified vote count, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If no qualifying vote is held by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No vote by December 31/Withdrawn”. If a formally submitted nomination is withdrawn or returned to the President before reaching a final confirmation vote, this market will resolve immediately to “No vote by December 31/Withdrawn”.
Votes cast by the Vice President, if any, will not be considered for this market.
No attempts by a legislator to change their vote after the vote has been closed shall be considered for this market.
The resolution sources will be official Senate voting records and a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$549Tanggal Berakhir
Jan 1, 2027Pasar Dibuka
Jun 9, 2026, 10:12 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Senate receipt of President Trump’s June 8 nomination for acting Attorney General Todd Blanche has produced closely matched trader probabilities between a narrow confirmation around 55 votes and a withdrawal or failure to reach a floor vote by year-end. Blanche’s prior 52-46 confirmation as deputy attorney general and the GOP’s slim majority create a narrow path that requires near-unanimous Republican support, with Democrats uniformly opposed. Concerns among some Republican senators over a proposed $1.8 billion DOJ compensation fund and broader Justice Department actions have introduced uncertainty about defections. The Senate Judiciary Committee is scheduled to hold hearings after the July recess, with confirmation targeted for late summer. Any public statements from key Republican holdouts or procedural delays could quickly shift the vote totals reflected in current pricing.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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