Trader consensus has coalesced around the 200-219 tweet range as the most likely outcome for Elon Musk’s activity from May 12-19, reflecting his established pattern of roughly 25-30 posts per day during periods of high engagement on X. Recent platform milestones, including X crossing one billion downloads, have fueled a steady stream of replies and commentary on topics ranging from Tesla’s Full Self-Driving safety data to cultural debates, sustaining momentum without a major spike or lull. With the week nearly complete, the market-implied odds underscore how consistent daily interaction and real-time reactions continue to anchor expectations in this social media volume contest.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui200-219 41.9%
180-199 31.4%
220-239 22.8%
240-259 3.6%
$9,831,128 Vol.
$9,831,128 Vol.
May 19, 2026
140-159
<1%
160-179
2%
180-199
31%
200-219
42%
220-239
23%
240-259
4%
260-279
<1%
280-299
<1%
300-319
<1%
320-339
<1%
340-359
<1%
360-379
<1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500+
<1%
200-219 41.9%
180-199 31.4%
220-239 22.8%
240-259 3.6%
$9,831,128 Vol.
$9,831,128 Vol.
May 19, 2026
140-159
$719,993 Vol.
<1%
160-179
$502,276 Vol.
2%
180-199
$393,804 Vol.
31%
200-219
$377,807 Vol.
42%
220-239
$418,094 Vol.
23%
240-259
$322,100 Vol.
4%
260-279
$306,474 Vol.
<1%
280-299
$281,837 Vol.
<1%
300-319
$331,056 Vol.
<1%
320-339
$406,255 Vol.
<1%
340-359
$431,349 Vol.
<1%
360-379
$416,804 Vol.
<1%
380-399
$400,329 Vol.
<1%
400-419
$550,382 Vol.
<1%
420-439
$157,847 Vol.
<1%
440-459
$82,158 Vol.
<1%
460-479
$67,054 Vol.
<1%
480-499
$29,200 Vol.
<1%
500+
$241,779 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 12 12:00 PM ET to May 19, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus has coalesced around the 200-219 tweet range as the most likely outcome for Elon Musk’s activity from May 12-19, reflecting his established pattern of roughly 25-30 posts per day during periods of high engagement on X. Recent platform milestones, including X crossing one billion downloads, have fueled a steady stream of replies and commentary on topics ranging from Tesla’s Full Self-Driving safety data to cultural debates, sustaining momentum without a major spike or lull. With the week nearly complete, the market-implied odds underscore how consistent daily interaction and real-time reactions continue to anchor expectations in this social media volume contest.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 12 12:00 PM ET to May 19, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Pasar Dibuka: May 9, 2026, 4:07 AM ET
Volume
$9,831,128Tanggal Berakhir
May 19, 2026Pasar Dibuka
May 9, 2026, 4:07 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 12 12:00 PM ET to May 19, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus has coalesced around the 200-219 tweet range as the most likely outcome for Elon Musk’s activity from May 12-19, reflecting his established pattern of roughly 25-30 posts per day during periods of high engagement on X. Recent platform milestones, including X crossing one billion downloads, have fueled a steady stream of replies and commentary on topics ranging from Tesla’s Full Self-Driving safety data to cultural debates, sustaining momentum without a major spike or lull. With the week nearly complete, the market-implied odds underscore how consistent daily interaction and real-time reactions continue to anchor expectations in this social media volume contest.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 12 12:00 PM ET to May 19, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$9,831,128Tanggal Berakhir
May 19, 2026Pasar Dibuka
May 9, 2026, 4:07 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus has coalesced around the 200-219 tweet range as the most likely outcome for Elon Musk’s activity from May 12-19, reflecting his established pattern of roughly 25-30 posts per day during periods of high engagement on X. Recent platform milestones, including X crossing one billion downloads, have fueled a steady stream of replies and commentary on topics ranging from Tesla’s Full Self-Driving safety data to cultural debates, sustaining momentum without a major spike or lull. With the week nearly complete, the market-implied odds underscore how consistent daily interaction and real-time reactions continue to anchor expectations in this social media volume contest.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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