Both chambers of Congress have advanced continuing resolutions to extend current funding levels past the September 30 expiration of FY2026 appropriations, with the Senate approving its version 90-6 on August 8 to run through December 11 and the House passing a similar measure through December 4 in July. This early bipartisan action, following multiple funding lapses earlier in the FY2026 cycle, reflects broad agreement to sidestep an October 1 lapse ahead of the November midterms, leaving only the narrow task of reconciling the two bills when members return from recess in early September. The strong Senate vote and absence of major procedural or partisan blocks have produced the current trader consensus reflected in the 86% probability assigned to “No.”
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Oct 1, 2026
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Oct 1, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a partial or full United States federal government lapse in appropriations occurs on October 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A lapse in appropriations occurs when Congress and the President fail to enact legislation providing funding authority for federal government operations by an applicable deadline, resulting in a funding lapse.
A lapse of any duration affecting any portion of the United States federal government will qualify, regardless of whether it results in any operational impact. A subsequent government shutdown is not necessary for this market to resolve to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States government, including from Congress.gov; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Both chambers of Congress have advanced continuing resolutions to extend current funding levels past the September 30 expiration of FY2026 appropriations, with the Senate approving its version 90-6 on August 8 to run through December 11 and the House passing a similar measure through December 4 in July. This early bipartisan action, following multiple funding lapses earlier in the FY2026 cycle, reflects broad agreement to sidestep an October 1 lapse ahead of the November midterms, leaving only the narrow task of reconciling the two bills when members return from recess in early September. The strong Senate vote and absence of major procedural or partisan blocks have produced the current trader consensus reflected in the 86% probability assigned to “No.”
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a partial or full United States federal government lapse in appropriations occurs on October 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A lapse in appropriations occurs when Congress and the President fail to enact legislation providing funding authority for federal government operations by an applicable deadline, resulting in a funding lapse.
A lapse of any duration affecting any portion of the United States federal government will qualify, regardless of whether it results in any operational impact. A subsequent government shutdown is not necessary for this market to resolve to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States government, including from Congress.gov; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A lapse in appropriations occurs when Congress and the President fail to enact legislation providing funding authority for federal government operations by an applicable deadline, resulting in a funding lapse.
A lapse of any duration affecting any portion of the United States federal government will qualify, regardless of whether it results in any operational impact. A subsequent government shutdown is not necessary for this market to resolve to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States government, including from Congress.gov; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 5, 2026, 11:30 AM ET
Volume
$1,340Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 1, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 5, 2026, 11:30 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if a partial or full United States federal government lapse in appropriations occurs on October 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A lapse in appropriations occurs when Congress and the President fail to enact legislation providing funding authority for federal government operations by an applicable deadline, resulting in a funding lapse.
A lapse of any duration affecting any portion of the United States federal government will qualify, regardless of whether it results in any operational impact. A subsequent government shutdown is not necessary for this market to resolve to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States government, including from Congress.gov; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Both chambers of Congress have advanced continuing resolutions to extend current funding levels past the September 30 expiration of FY2026 appropriations, with the Senate approving its version 90-6 on August 8 to run through December 11 and the House passing a similar measure through December 4 in July. This early bipartisan action, following multiple funding lapses earlier in the FY2026 cycle, reflects broad agreement to sidestep an October 1 lapse ahead of the November midterms, leaving only the narrow task of reconciling the two bills when members return from recess in early September. The strong Senate vote and absence of major procedural or partisan blocks have produced the current trader consensus reflected in the 86% probability assigned to “No.”
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a partial or full United States federal government lapse in appropriations occurs on October 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A lapse in appropriations occurs when Congress and the President fail to enact legislation providing funding authority for federal government operations by an applicable deadline, resulting in a funding lapse.
A lapse of any duration affecting any portion of the United States federal government will qualify, regardless of whether it results in any operational impact. A subsequent government shutdown is not necessary for this market to resolve to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States government, including from Congress.gov; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A lapse in appropriations occurs when Congress and the President fail to enact legislation providing funding authority for federal government operations by an applicable deadline, resulting in a funding lapse.
A lapse of any duration affecting any portion of the United States federal government will qualify, regardless of whether it results in any operational impact. A subsequent government shutdown is not necessary for this market to resolve to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States government, including from Congress.gov; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,340Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 1, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 5, 2026, 11:30 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Both chambers of Congress have advanced continuing resolutions to extend current funding levels past the September 30 expiration of FY2026 appropriations, with the Senate approving its version 90-6 on August 8 to run through December 11 and the House passing a similar measure through December 4 in July. This early bipartisan action, following multiple funding lapses earlier in the FY2026 cycle, reflects broad agreement to sidestep an October 1 lapse ahead of the November midterms, leaving only the narrow task of reconciling the two bills when members return from recess in early September. The strong Senate vote and absence of major procedural or partisan blocks have produced the current trader consensus reflected in the 86% probability assigned to “No.”
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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