The @khamenei_ir account, now operated in the name of the late Supreme Leader, maintains a deliberate low-volume cadence focused on archival quotes, religious themes, commemorative images, and occasional geopolitical messaging. Recent posts in mid-August 2026 appeared roughly every few days without acceleration, consistent with patterns observed across multiple prior weeks and similar prediction markets. No major scheduled events, leadership announcements, or confirmed escalations in the Iran-Israel-US conflict fall precisely within August 25–September 1 that would prompt a sustained increase. Traders therefore assign the highest implied probability to fewer than five posts, with mid-range buckets (25–34 and adjacent) reflecting limited scope for modest upticks tied to routine observances or external developments.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiKhamenei # posts August 25 - September 1, 2026?
Khamenei # posts August 25 - September 1, 2026?
<5 73%
30-34 59%
25-29 57%
20-24 34%
BARU
BARU
Sep 1, 2026
<5
65%
5-9
27%
10-14
18%
15-19
24%
20-24
34%
25-29
57%
30-34
59%
35-39
1%
40-44
1%
45-49
1%
50-54
1%
55-59
1%
60+
1%
<5 73%
30-34 59%
25-29 57%
20-24 34%
BARU
BARU
Sep 1, 2026
<5
$1 Vol.
65%
5-9
$0 Vol.
27%
10-14
$0 Vol.
18%
15-19
$44 Vol.
24%
20-24
$44 Vol.
34%
25-29
$44 Vol.
57%
30-34
$44 Vol.
59%
35-39
$25 Vol.
1%
40-44
$25 Vol.
1%
45-49
$25 Vol.
1%
50-54
$25 Vol.
1%
55-59
$25 Vol.
1%
60+
$45 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between August 25, 12:00 PM ET and September 1, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.The @khamenei_ir account, now operated in the name of the late Supreme Leader, maintains a deliberate low-volume cadence focused on archival quotes, religious themes, commemorative images, and occasional geopolitical messaging. Recent posts in mid-August 2026 appeared roughly every few days without acceleration, consistent with patterns observed across multiple prior weeks and similar prediction markets. No major scheduled events, leadership announcements, or confirmed escalations in the Iran-Israel-US conflict fall precisely within August 25–September 1 that would prompt a sustained increase. Traders therefore assign the highest implied probability to fewer than five posts, with mid-range buckets (25–34 and adjacent) reflecting limited scope for modest upticks tied to routine observances or external developments.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between August 25, 12:00 PM ET and September 1, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 22, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
Volume
$347Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 1, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 22, 2026, 12:00 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://x.com/khamenei_irResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between August 25, 12:00 PM ET and September 1, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.The @khamenei_ir account, now operated in the name of the late Supreme Leader, maintains a deliberate low-volume cadence focused on archival quotes, religious themes, commemorative images, and occasional geopolitical messaging. Recent posts in mid-August 2026 appeared roughly every few days without acceleration, consistent with patterns observed across multiple prior weeks and similar prediction markets. No major scheduled events, leadership announcements, or confirmed escalations in the Iran-Israel-US conflict fall precisely within August 25–September 1 that would prompt a sustained increase. Traders therefore assign the highest implied probability to fewer than five posts, with mid-range buckets (25–34 and adjacent) reflecting limited scope for modest upticks tied to routine observances or external developments.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between August 25, 12:00 PM ET and September 1, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$347Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 1, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 22, 2026, 12:00 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://x.com/khamenei_irResolver
0x69c47De9D...The @khamenei_ir account, now operated in the name of the late Supreme Leader, maintains a deliberate low-volume cadence focused on archival quotes, religious themes, commemorative images, and occasional geopolitical messaging. Recent posts in mid-August 2026 appeared roughly every few days without acceleration, consistent with patterns observed across multiple prior weeks and similar prediction markets. No major scheduled events, leadership announcements, or confirmed escalations in the Iran-Israel-US conflict fall precisely within August 25–September 1 that would prompt a sustained increase. Traders therefore assign the highest implied probability to fewer than five posts, with mid-range buckets (25–34 and adjacent) reflecting limited scope for modest upticks tied to routine observances or external developments.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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