Forecast models from major centers show Ankara under persistent high pressure on July 20, producing clear skies, light winds, and strong daytime radiative heating that support daily maxima near 34–35 °C. Ensemble spreads place the most probable outcomes in this narrow range, reflected in the market’s near-even split between those two bins. Subtle differences in boundary-layer moisture, exact timing of peak insolation, and local urban heat effects create the remaining uncertainty between 34 °C and 35 °C, while cooler or hotter outliers remain low-probability given current guidance. Updated model runs and official Turkish Meteorological Service briefings over the next 48 hours will likely tighten the consensus ahead of market resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Ankara on July 20?
Highest temperature in Ankara on July 20?
33°C 100.0%
29°C or below <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$40,495 Vol.
$40,495 Vol.
Jul 20, 2026
29°C or below
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
Yes
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C or higher
No
33°C 100.0%
29°C or below <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$40,495 Vol.
$40,495 Vol.
Jul 20, 2026
29°C or below
$506 Vol.
No
30°C
$346 Vol.
No
31°C
$2,015 Vol.
No
32°C
$4,938 Vol.
No
33°C
$13,054 Vol.
Yes
34°C
$8,910 Vol.
No
35°C
$6,248 Vol.
No
36°C
$2,749 Vol.
No
37°C
$762 Vol.
No
38°C
$563 Vol.
No
39°C or higher
$404 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from major centers show Ankara under persistent high pressure on July 20, producing clear skies, light winds, and strong daytime radiative heating that support daily maxima near 34–35 °C. Ensemble spreads place the most probable outcomes in this narrow range, reflected in the market’s near-even split between those two bins. Subtle differences in boundary-layer moisture, exact timing of peak insolation, and local urban heat effects create the remaining uncertainty between 34 °C and 35 °C, while cooler or hotter outliers remain low-probability given current guidance. Updated model runs and official Turkish Meteorological Service briefings over the next 48 hours will likely tighten the consensus ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Jul 18, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$40,495Tanggal Berakhir
Jul 20, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jul 18, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: No
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from major centers show Ankara under persistent high pressure on July 20, producing clear skies, light winds, and strong daytime radiative heating that support daily maxima near 34–35 °C. Ensemble spreads place the most probable outcomes in this narrow range, reflected in the market’s near-even split between those two bins. Subtle differences in boundary-layer moisture, exact timing of peak insolation, and local urban heat effects create the remaining uncertainty between 34 °C and 35 °C, while cooler or hotter outliers remain low-probability given current guidance. Updated model runs and official Turkish Meteorological Service briefings over the next 48 hours will likely tighten the consensus ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$40,495Tanggal Berakhir
Jul 20, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jul 18, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: No
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: No
Forecast models from major centers show Ankara under persistent high pressure on July 20, producing clear skies, light winds, and strong daytime radiative heating that support daily maxima near 34–35 °C. Ensemble spreads place the most probable outcomes in this narrow range, reflected in the market’s near-even split between those two bins. Subtle differences in boundary-layer moisture, exact timing of peak insolation, and local urban heat effects create the remaining uncertainty between 34 °C and 35 °C, while cooler or hotter outliers remain low-probability given current guidance. Updated model runs and official Turkish Meteorological Service briefings over the next 48 hours will likely tighten the consensus ahead of market resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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