Persistent high-pressure systems and clear, dry conditions across central Anatolia are positioning Ankara for a July 21 daily maximum near 33–34 °C, aligning with the market’s heaviest weighting on those outcomes. Numerical weather models from the Turkish State Meteorological Service and ECMWF consensus runs show light northerly flow, minimal cloud cover, and surface heating typical of the region’s continental climate, where July averages reach about 32 °C. Recent observations confirm stable subsidence and negligible moisture advection that would otherwise limit daytime warming or trigger convective cooling. With the event only two days away and no significant model shifts anticipated before resolution, trader sentiment remains anchored to these narrow temperature bands rather than outliers driven by atypical synoptic changes.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Ankara on July 21?
Highest temperature in Ankara on July 21?
33°C 56%
34°C 33%
32°C 11%
35°C 2.3%
BARU
$18,808 Vol.
BARU
$18,808 Vol.
Jul 21, 2026
30°C or below
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
11%
33°C
56%
34°C
33%
35°C
2%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C or higher
<1%
33°C 56%
34°C 33%
32°C 11%
35°C 2.3%
BARU
$18,808 Vol.
BARU
$18,808 Vol.
Jul 21, 2026
30°C or below
$537 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$1,551 Vol.
1%
32°C
$3,436 Vol.
11%
33°C
$4,760 Vol.
56%
34°C
$2,607 Vol.
33%
35°C
$1,959 Vol.
2%
36°C
$1,103 Vol.
<1%
37°C
$1,878 Vol.
<1%
38°C
$645 Vol.
<1%
39°C
$165 Vol.
<1%
40°C or higher
$165 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent high-pressure systems and clear, dry conditions across central Anatolia are positioning Ankara for a July 21 daily maximum near 33–34 °C, aligning with the market’s heaviest weighting on those outcomes. Numerical weather models from the Turkish State Meteorological Service and ECMWF consensus runs show light northerly flow, minimal cloud cover, and surface heating typical of the region’s continental climate, where July averages reach about 32 °C. Recent observations confirm stable subsidence and negligible moisture advection that would otherwise limit daytime warming or trigger convective cooling. With the event only two days away and no significant model shifts anticipated before resolution, trader sentiment remains anchored to these narrow temperature bands rather than outliers driven by atypical synoptic changes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Jul 19, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$18,808Tanggal Berakhir
Jul 21, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jul 19, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent high-pressure systems and clear, dry conditions across central Anatolia are positioning Ankara for a July 21 daily maximum near 33–34 °C, aligning with the market’s heaviest weighting on those outcomes. Numerical weather models from the Turkish State Meteorological Service and ECMWF consensus runs show light northerly flow, minimal cloud cover, and surface heating typical of the region’s continental climate, where July averages reach about 32 °C. Recent observations confirm stable subsidence and negligible moisture advection that would otherwise limit daytime warming or trigger convective cooling. With the event only two days away and no significant model shifts anticipated before resolution, trader sentiment remains anchored to these narrow temperature bands rather than outliers driven by atypical synoptic changes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$18,808Tanggal Berakhir
Jul 21, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jul 19, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent high-pressure systems and clear, dry conditions across central Anatolia are positioning Ankara for a July 21 daily maximum near 33–34 °C, aligning with the market’s heaviest weighting on those outcomes. Numerical weather models from the Turkish State Meteorological Service and ECMWF consensus runs show light northerly flow, minimal cloud cover, and surface heating typical of the region’s continental climate, where July averages reach about 32 °C. Recent observations confirm stable subsidence and negligible moisture advection that would otherwise limit daytime warming or trigger convective cooling. With the event only two days away and no significant model shifts anticipated before resolution, trader sentiment remains anchored to these narrow temperature bands rather than outliers driven by atypical synoptic changes.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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