The market's overwhelming 99.7% implied probability for a 90-91°F high on June 17, 2026, in Dallas stems from the official National Weather Service climatological report confirming that exact maximum at the Dallas/Fort Worth International Airport station (KDFW). Ensemble forecast models and real-time observations aligned closely with this outcome amid typical early-summer conditions, including moderate southerly flow and surface heating without significant cloud cover or frontal passages to suppress temperatures. Historical June climatology for the region shows average highs near 93°F, placing the observed value slightly below normal but firmly within the narrow bin. Only measurement discrepancies at alternate stations or post-hoc data revisions could realistically shift resolution, though such changes remain rare given NWS verification protocols.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Dallas on June 17?
90-91°F 100.0%
81°F or below <1%
82-83°F <1%
84-85°F <1%
$42,033 Vol.
$42,033 Vol.
81°F or below
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
100%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
<1%
96-97°F
<1%
98-99°F
<1%
100°F or higher
<1%
90-91°F 100.0%
81°F or below <1%
82-83°F <1%
84-85°F <1%
$42,033 Vol.
$42,033 Vol.
81°F or below
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
100%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
<1%
96-97°F
<1%
98-99°F
<1%
100°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Jun 15, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...The market's overwhelming 99.7% implied probability for a 90-91°F high on June 17, 2026, in Dallas stems from the official National Weather Service climatological report confirming that exact maximum at the Dallas/Fort Worth International Airport station (KDFW). Ensemble forecast models and real-time observations aligned closely with this outcome amid typical early-summer conditions, including moderate southerly flow and surface heating without significant cloud cover or frontal passages to suppress temperatures. Historical June climatology for the region shows average highs near 93°F, placing the observed value slightly below normal but firmly within the narrow bin. Only measurement discrepancies at alternate stations or post-hoc data revisions could realistically shift resolution, though such changes remain rare given NWS verification protocols.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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