Recent forecast guidance for Shanghai on June 18 shows model consensus centered on a high near 28–29°C, with overcast skies, elevated humidity, and possible light showers or isolated thunderstorms limiting daytime heating and narrowing the temperature range. These conditions align with the East Asian monsoon transition, where cloud cover and moisture often cap peaks below seasonal climatological averages of 29–30°C. Trader positioning around these central outcomes reflects uncertainty in exact timing and intensity of any precipitation, with lower probabilities assigned to 30°C+ scenarios that would require clearer skies and stronger insolation. Updated runs from regional numerical weather prediction systems expected overnight could refine this narrow band ahead of market resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Shanghai on June 18?
28°C 38%
29°C 33%
27°C 24%
30°C 4.6%
$33,718 Vol.
$33,718 Vol.
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
2%
27°C
24%
28°C
38%
29°C
33%
30°C
5%
31°C
1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C or higher
<1%
28°C 38%
29°C 33%
27°C 24%
30°C 4.6%
$33,718 Vol.
$33,718 Vol.
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
2%
27°C
24%
28°C
38%
29°C
33%
30°C
5%
31°C
1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Jun 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast guidance for Shanghai on June 18 shows model consensus centered on a high near 28–29°C, with overcast skies, elevated humidity, and possible light showers or isolated thunderstorms limiting daytime heating and narrowing the temperature range. These conditions align with the East Asian monsoon transition, where cloud cover and moisture often cap peaks below seasonal climatological averages of 29–30°C. Trader positioning around these central outcomes reflects uncertainty in exact timing and intensity of any precipitation, with lower probabilities assigned to 30°C+ scenarios that would require clearer skies and stronger insolation. Updated runs from regional numerical weather prediction systems expected overnight could refine this narrow band ahead of market resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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