**Northerly airflow is the main driver positioning 14°C as the market favorite for Wellington’s June 18 maximum.** MetService’s extended forecast, issued in mid-June 2026, calls for partly cloudy conditions with northerlies and a daytime high of 14°C, while the UK Met Office projects 13°C. These align closely with the market-implied probabilities (14°C at 50.5%, 13°C at 30.5%), reflecting traders’ weighting of official guidance over June climatology of roughly 12–13°C highs. Early-month warmth, including record readings above 19°C on June 1–2, illustrates how northerly surges can elevate temperatures above average, but mid-month steering patterns and model consensus currently favor only modest anomalies. Fresh model runs or MetService updates in the next 24–48 hours remain the key variables that could shift resolution odds.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Wellington on June 18?
Highest temperature in Wellington on June 18?
14°C 51%
13°C 30%
15°C 14%
12°C 4.0%
BARU
BARU
Jun 18, 2026
8°C or below
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
1%
12°C
4%
13°C
26%
14°C
51%
15°C
14%
16°C
4%
17°C
1%
18°C or higher
1%
14°C 51%
13°C 30%
15°C 14%
12°C 4.0%
BARU
BARU
Jun 18, 2026
8°C or below
$224 Vol.
<1%
9°C
$58 Vol.
<1%
10°C
$66 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$74 Vol.
1%
12°C
$57 Vol.
4%
13°C
$161 Vol.
26%
14°C
$125 Vol.
51%
15°C
$497 Vol.
14%
16°C
$335 Vol.
4%
17°C
$34 Vol.
1%
18°C or higher
$60 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Northerly airflow is the main driver positioning 14°C as the market favorite for Wellington’s June 18 maximum.** MetService’s extended forecast, issued in mid-June 2026, calls for partly cloudy conditions with northerlies and a daytime high of 14°C, while the UK Met Office projects 13°C. These align closely with the market-implied probabilities (14°C at 50.5%, 13°C at 30.5%), reflecting traders’ weighting of official guidance over June climatology of roughly 12–13°C highs. Early-month warmth, including record readings above 19°C on June 1–2, illustrates how northerly surges can elevate temperatures above average, but mid-month steering patterns and model consensus currently favor only modest anomalies. Fresh model runs or MetService updates in the next 24–48 hours remain the key variables that could shift resolution odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Jun 16, 2026, 12:18 AM ET
Volume
$1,670Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 18, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jun 16, 2026, 12:18 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Northerly airflow is the main driver positioning 14°C as the market favorite for Wellington’s June 18 maximum.** MetService’s extended forecast, issued in mid-June 2026, calls for partly cloudy conditions with northerlies and a daytime high of 14°C, while the UK Met Office projects 13°C. These align closely with the market-implied probabilities (14°C at 50.5%, 13°C at 30.5%), reflecting traders’ weighting of official guidance over June climatology of roughly 12–13°C highs. Early-month warmth, including record readings above 19°C on June 1–2, illustrates how northerly surges can elevate temperatures above average, but mid-month steering patterns and model consensus currently favor only modest anomalies. Fresh model runs or MetService updates in the next 24–48 hours remain the key variables that could shift resolution odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,670Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 18, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jun 16, 2026, 12:18 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Northerly airflow is the main driver positioning 14°C as the market favorite for Wellington’s June 18 maximum.** MetService’s extended forecast, issued in mid-June 2026, calls for partly cloudy conditions with northerlies and a daytime high of 14°C, while the UK Met Office projects 13°C. These align closely with the market-implied probabilities (14°C at 50.5%, 13°C at 30.5%), reflecting traders’ weighting of official guidance over June climatology of roughly 12–13°C highs. Early-month warmth, including record readings above 19°C on June 1–2, illustrates how northerly surges can elevate temperatures above average, but mid-month steering patterns and model consensus currently favor only modest anomalies. Fresh model runs or MetService updates in the next 24–48 hours remain the key variables that could shift resolution odds.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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