Latest ECMWF ensemble forecasts for Munich on June 18 show a central tendency near 30°C with a 28–32°C spread, directly supporting the market's tight clustering around 30–31°C as leading outcomes. This reflects typical model uncertainty in boundary-layer heating, local advection of warm continental air, and minor variations in cloud cover or wind under high-pressure influence near the Alps. Ensemble spread arises from differences in initial conditions and parameterization of surface fluxes, while historical June maxima in Munich average around 22°C, making this episode anomalously warm but within seasonal extremes. Updated model runs and official guidance from agencies like DWD will refine the exact peak before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Munich on June 18?
Highest temperature in Munich on June 18?
31°C 35%
30°C 26%
32°C 16%
29°C 9.0%
BARU
$13,478 Vol.
BARU
$13,478 Vol.
Jun 18, 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
3%
29°C
9%
30°C
26%
31°C
35%
32°C
16%
33°C
3%
34°C or higher
1%
31°C 35%
30°C 26%
32°C 16%
29°C 9.0%
BARU
$13,478 Vol.
BARU
$13,478 Vol.
Jun 18, 2026
24°C or below
$216 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$111 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$782 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$1,174 Vol.
1%
28°C
$2,841 Vol.
3%
29°C
$2,044 Vol.
9%
30°C
$1,818 Vol.
26%
31°C
$1,109 Vol.
35%
32°C
$1,308 Vol.
16%
33°C
$634 Vol.
3%
34°C or higher
$1,446 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ECMWF ensemble forecasts for Munich on June 18 show a central tendency near 30°C with a 28–32°C spread, directly supporting the market's tight clustering around 30–31°C as leading outcomes. This reflects typical model uncertainty in boundary-layer heating, local advection of warm continental air, and minor variations in cloud cover or wind under high-pressure influence near the Alps. Ensemble spread arises from differences in initial conditions and parameterization of surface fluxes, while historical June maxima in Munich average around 22°C, making this episode anomalously warm but within seasonal extremes. Updated model runs and official guidance from agencies like DWD will refine the exact peak before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Jun 16, 2026, 1:07 AM ET
Volume
$13,478Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 18, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jun 16, 2026, 1:07 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ECMWF ensemble forecasts for Munich on June 18 show a central tendency near 30°C with a 28–32°C spread, directly supporting the market's tight clustering around 30–31°C as leading outcomes. This reflects typical model uncertainty in boundary-layer heating, local advection of warm continental air, and minor variations in cloud cover or wind under high-pressure influence near the Alps. Ensemble spread arises from differences in initial conditions and parameterization of surface fluxes, while historical June maxima in Munich average around 22°C, making this episode anomalously warm but within seasonal extremes. Updated model runs and official guidance from agencies like DWD will refine the exact peak before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$13,478Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 18, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jun 16, 2026, 1:07 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ECMWF ensemble forecasts for Munich on June 18 show a central tendency near 30°C with a 28–32°C spread, directly supporting the market's tight clustering around 30–31°C as leading outcomes. This reflects typical model uncertainty in boundary-layer heating, local advection of warm continental air, and minor variations in cloud cover or wind under high-pressure influence near the Alps. Ensemble spread arises from differences in initial conditions and parameterization of surface fluxes, while historical June maxima in Munich average around 22°C, making this episode anomalously warm but within seasonal extremes. Updated model runs and official guidance from agencies like DWD will refine the exact peak before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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