**Trader sentiment for Jeddah’s June 18 high temperature centers on 38–40°C outcomes (combined ~83% implied probability), reflecting current short-range forecast consensus and typical early-summer climatology for the Red Sea coastal city.** Jeddah’s June baseline features average daily maxima near 36°C under persistent high pressure, abundant sunshine, and light northwesterly winds that limit extreme heat spikes while maintaining high humidity. Recent model guidance and extended-range outlooks for mid-June 2026 show daytime highs stabilizing in the 36–38°C range, with June 18 specifically projected around 36–38°C and minimal precipitation risk. This places 39°C as the modal outcome while keeping 40°C and 38°C closely competitive; the modest 7.5% probability assigned to 41°C or higher aligns with the low historical frequency of such peaks this early in the season absent unusual heat advection or suppressed marine influence. No major synoptic shifts (such as stronger shamal winds or Saharan dust outbreaks) appear imminent in the latest guidance, supporting the tight clustering around 38–40°C.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Jeddah on June 18?
39°C 37%
38°C 25%
40°C 24%
41°C or higher 7%
31°C or below
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
2%
37°C
6%
38°C
25%
39°C
37%
40°C
24%
41°C or higher
7%
39°C 37%
38°C 25%
40°C 24%
41°C or higher 7%
31°C or below
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
2%
37°C
6%
38°C
25%
39°C
37%
40°C
24%
41°C or higher
7%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Jun 16, 2026, 1:16 AM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment for Jeddah’s June 18 high temperature centers on 38–40°C outcomes (combined ~83% implied probability), reflecting current short-range forecast consensus and typical early-summer climatology for the Red Sea coastal city.** Jeddah’s June baseline features average daily maxima near 36°C under persistent high pressure, abundant sunshine, and light northwesterly winds that limit extreme heat spikes while maintaining high humidity. Recent model guidance and extended-range outlooks for mid-June 2026 show daytime highs stabilizing in the 36–38°C range, with June 18 specifically projected around 36–38°C and minimal precipitation risk. This places 39°C as the modal outcome while keeping 40°C and 38°C closely competitive; the modest 7.5% probability assigned to 41°C or higher aligns with the low historical frequency of such peaks this early in the season absent unusual heat advection or suppressed marine influence. No major synoptic shifts (such as stronger shamal winds or Saharan dust outbreaks) appear imminent in the latest guidance, supporting the tight clustering around 38–40°C.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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