Latest short-range forecasts from agencies like Turkey's Meteorological Service and global models converge on a 28–29°C daily high for Ankara on June 16, driving the tight 35.5–40.5% market split, as clear skies and light southwesterly flow under high pressure favor peak solar insolation with minimal cloud cover or advection cooling. Recent model runs show little spread beyond one degree, consistent with June climatology of 26–28°C averages and the absence of fronts or significant moisture. Traders weigh residual uncertainty from local urban heat effects and potential minor forecast adjustments in the final 48-hour updates against historical verification where 1°C errors remain common at this lead time.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Ankara on June 16?
29°C 41%
28°C 36%
27°C 15%
30°C 4.0%
23°C or below
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
3%
27°C
15%
28°C
36%
29°C
41%
30°C
4%
31°C
3%
32°C
1%
33°C or higher
1%
29°C 41%
28°C 36%
27°C 15%
30°C 4.0%
23°C or below
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
3%
27°C
15%
28°C
36%
29°C
41%
30°C
4%
31°C
3%
32°C
1%
33°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Jun 14, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest short-range forecasts from agencies like Turkey's Meteorological Service and global models converge on a 28–29°C daily high for Ankara on June 16, driving the tight 35.5–40.5% market split, as clear skies and light southwesterly flow under high pressure favor peak solar insolation with minimal cloud cover or advection cooling. Recent model runs show little spread beyond one degree, consistent with June climatology of 26–28°C averages and the absence of fronts or significant moisture. Traders weigh residual uncertainty from local urban heat effects and potential minor forecast adjustments in the final 48-hour updates against historical verification where 1°C errors remain common at this lead time.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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