Recent model consensus from sources including the Turkish Meteorological Service and international forecasts points to mostly sunny conditions over Ankara on June 15, driven by a stable high-pressure ridge and typical early-summer insolation with light northerly winds. This setup favors a daily maximum near 25–26 °C, aligning with the market’s heaviest weighting on 25 °C (47 %) and nearby 24 °C/26 °C outcomes. Ensemble spreads remain modest because no strong frontal systems or significant moisture advection are expected to alter the thermal profile before the 24-hour verification window. Historical June climatology (average highs ~26–28 °C) further anchors trader expectations around this narrow range, with lower probabilities assigned to outliers that would require rapid model shifts in the final forecast updates.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Ankara on June 15?
25°C 47%
24°C 28%
26°C 20%
23°C 4.5%
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
5%
24°C
28%
25°C
47%
26°C
20%
27°C
3%
28°C
1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
25°C 47%
24°C 28%
26°C 20%
23°C 4.5%
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
5%
24°C
28%
25°C
47%
26°C
20%
27°C
3%
28°C
1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Jun 13, 2026, 12:10 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from sources including the Turkish Meteorological Service and international forecasts points to mostly sunny conditions over Ankara on June 15, driven by a stable high-pressure ridge and typical early-summer insolation with light northerly winds. This setup favors a daily maximum near 25–26 °C, aligning with the market’s heaviest weighting on 25 °C (47 %) and nearby 24 °C/26 °C outcomes. Ensemble spreads remain modest because no strong frontal systems or significant moisture advection are expected to alter the thermal profile before the 24-hour verification window. Historical June climatology (average highs ~26–28 °C) further anchors trader expectations around this narrow range, with lower probabilities assigned to outliers that would require rapid model shifts in the final forecast updates.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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