Recent ensemble forecasts from major models position the highest temperature in Amsterdam on June 18 near 26–28 °C, with tight clustering around 27 °C driving the leading market-implied odds. A building high-pressure ridge and southerly flow are supporting gradual warming under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies, while limited moisture and light winds reduce cooling effects. Historical June climatology shows typical maxima near 19–23 °C, making this setup notably above average yet below heatwave thresholds. Minor model spread in boundary-layer mixing and timing of any afternoon cloud build-up creates the narrow differentiation among 26 °C, 27 °C, and 28 °C outcomes, with fresh runs expected within 24 hours likely to tighten consensus ahead of the event.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Amsterdam on June 18?
27°C 37%
28°C 31%
26°C 23%
29°C 10%
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
2%
26°C
23%
27°C
37%
28°C
31%
29°C
10%
30°C
1%
31°C or higher
<1%
27°C 37%
28°C 31%
26°C 23%
29°C 10%
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
2%
26°C
23%
27°C
37%
28°C
31%
29°C
10%
30°C
1%
31°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Jun 16, 2026, 1:11 AM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from major models position the highest temperature in Amsterdam on June 18 near 26–28 °C, with tight clustering around 27 °C driving the leading market-implied odds. A building high-pressure ridge and southerly flow are supporting gradual warming under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies, while limited moisture and light winds reduce cooling effects. Historical June climatology shows typical maxima near 19–23 °C, making this setup notably above average yet below heatwave thresholds. Minor model spread in boundary-layer mixing and timing of any afternoon cloud build-up creates the narrow differentiation among 26 °C, 27 °C, and 28 °C outcomes, with fresh runs expected within 24 hours likely to tighten consensus ahead of the event.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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