Close competition between the 29°C and 30°C contracts reflects genuine uncertainty in numerical weather prediction models regarding afternoon cloud cover, humidity, and convective rainfall over the Taipei basin on June 16. June climatology shows average daily highs near 31–33°C, but frequent showers and the urban heat island effect can suppress peak readings by 1–3°C depending on timing. Central Weather Administration seasonal guidance indicates normal-to-above-normal temperatures for the month amid a relatively wet pattern, while recent model consensus clusters near the lower end of that range. Updated high-resolution runs from CWA and global ensembles over the next 48 hours will likely sharpen probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Taipei on June 16?
Highest temperature in Taipei on June 16?
30°C 29%
29°C 22%
31°C 18%
28°C 13%
BARU
BARU
Jun 16, 2026
25°C or below
1%
26°C
4%
27°C
7%
28°C
13%
29°C
22%
30°C
29%
31°C
18%
32°C
7%
33°C
5%
34°C
1%
35°C or higher
<1%
30°C 29%
29°C 22%
31°C 18%
28°C 13%
BARU
BARU
Jun 16, 2026
25°C or below
$148 Vol.
1%
26°C
$84 Vol.
4%
27°C
$145 Vol.
7%
28°C
$116 Vol.
13%
29°C
$178 Vol.
22%
30°C
$192 Vol.
29%
31°C
$151 Vol.
18%
32°C
$344 Vol.
7%
33°C
$264 Vol.
5%
34°C
$344 Vol.
1%
35°C or higher
$655 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Close competition between the 29°C and 30°C contracts reflects genuine uncertainty in numerical weather prediction models regarding afternoon cloud cover, humidity, and convective rainfall over the Taipei basin on June 16. June climatology shows average daily highs near 31–33°C, but frequent showers and the urban heat island effect can suppress peak readings by 1–3°C depending on timing. Central Weather Administration seasonal guidance indicates normal-to-above-normal temperatures for the month amid a relatively wet pattern, while recent model consensus clusters near the lower end of that range. Updated high-resolution runs from CWA and global ensembles over the next 48 hours will likely sharpen probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Jun 14, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$2,606Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 16, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jun 14, 2026, 12:04 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Close competition between the 29°C and 30°C contracts reflects genuine uncertainty in numerical weather prediction models regarding afternoon cloud cover, humidity, and convective rainfall over the Taipei basin on June 16. June climatology shows average daily highs near 31–33°C, but frequent showers and the urban heat island effect can suppress peak readings by 1–3°C depending on timing. Central Weather Administration seasonal guidance indicates normal-to-above-normal temperatures for the month amid a relatively wet pattern, while recent model consensus clusters near the lower end of that range. Updated high-resolution runs from CWA and global ensembles over the next 48 hours will likely sharpen probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,606Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 16, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jun 14, 2026, 12:04 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Close competition between the 29°C and 30°C contracts reflects genuine uncertainty in numerical weather prediction models regarding afternoon cloud cover, humidity, and convective rainfall over the Taipei basin on June 16. June climatology shows average daily highs near 31–33°C, but frequent showers and the urban heat island effect can suppress peak readings by 1–3°C depending on timing. Central Weather Administration seasonal guidance indicates normal-to-above-normal temperatures for the month amid a relatively wet pattern, while recent model consensus clusters near the lower end of that range. Updated high-resolution runs from CWA and global ensembles over the next 48 hours will likely sharpen probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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