Recent short-range forecasts from regional models indicate Istanbul's June 18 maximum will likely peak near 23–24°C under moderate northerly flow and stable high pressure, keeping skies mostly clear with limited moisture and modest afternoon heating. These conditions align with climatological mid-June norms of 22–26°C daily highs, yet subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing, sea-breeze timing from the Bosphorus, and any thin high-cloud veil could shift the observed peak by 1°C. Market-implied odds clustered tightly between the 23°C and 24°C buckets reflect this genuine forecast uncertainty, with traders weighting the latest ECMWF and Turkish Meteorological Service guidance most heavily ahead of final observational data.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Istanbul on June 18?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on June 18?
24°C 35%
23°C 32%
25°C 18%
26°C 9%
BARU
BARU
Jun 18, 2026
19°C or below
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
7%
23°C
32%
24°C
35%
25°C
18%
26°C
9%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
24°C 35%
23°C 32%
25°C 18%
26°C 9%
BARU
BARU
Jun 18, 2026
19°C or below
$125 Vol.
1%
20°C
$145 Vol.
1%
21°C
$30 Vol.
1%
22°C
$0 Vol.
7%
23°C
$61 Vol.
32%
24°C
$81 Vol.
35%
25°C
$59 Vol.
18%
26°C
$39 Vol.
9%
27°C
$167 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$70 Vol.
<1%
29°C or higher
$235 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecasts from regional models indicate Istanbul's June 18 maximum will likely peak near 23–24°C under moderate northerly flow and stable high pressure, keeping skies mostly clear with limited moisture and modest afternoon heating. These conditions align with climatological mid-June norms of 22–26°C daily highs, yet subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing, sea-breeze timing from the Bosphorus, and any thin high-cloud veil could shift the observed peak by 1°C. Market-implied odds clustered tightly between the 23°C and 24°C buckets reflect this genuine forecast uncertainty, with traders weighting the latest ECMWF and Turkish Meteorological Service guidance most heavily ahead of final observational data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Jun 16, 2026, 1:21 AM ET
Volume
$1,012Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 18, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jun 16, 2026, 1:21 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecasts from regional models indicate Istanbul's June 18 maximum will likely peak near 23–24°C under moderate northerly flow and stable high pressure, keeping skies mostly clear with limited moisture and modest afternoon heating. These conditions align with climatological mid-June norms of 22–26°C daily highs, yet subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing, sea-breeze timing from the Bosphorus, and any thin high-cloud veil could shift the observed peak by 1°C. Market-implied odds clustered tightly between the 23°C and 24°C buckets reflect this genuine forecast uncertainty, with traders weighting the latest ECMWF and Turkish Meteorological Service guidance most heavily ahead of final observational data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,012Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 18, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jun 16, 2026, 1:21 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-range forecasts from regional models indicate Istanbul's June 18 maximum will likely peak near 23–24°C under moderate northerly flow and stable high pressure, keeping skies mostly clear with limited moisture and modest afternoon heating. These conditions align with climatological mid-June norms of 22–26°C daily highs, yet subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing, sea-breeze timing from the Bosphorus, and any thin high-cloud veil could shift the observed peak by 1°C. Market-implied odds clustered tightly between the 23°C and 24°C buckets reflect this genuine forecast uncertainty, with traders weighting the latest ECMWF and Turkish Meteorological Service guidance most heavily ahead of final observational data.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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