Recent Météo-France guidance highlights an intensifying heatwave over Île-de-France driven by a strong high-pressure ridge, clear skies, and light southerly flow that limits mixing and allows rapid surface heating on June 18. Ensemble model consensus centers daytime maxima near 35–36 °C, with urban heat-island amplification in central Paris pushing the official recording site toward the upper end of that range. Minor spread between leading outcomes reflects small differences in boundary-layer moisture, exact wind speeds, and timing of peak insolation across runs; any late-day cloud development or slightly stronger northerly breeze could cap readings at 35 °C instead. Traders are therefore weighting the two most probable bins almost equally while discounting higher or lower thresholds absent major forecast shifts before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Paris on June 18?
Highest temperature in Paris on June 18?
36°C 36%
35°C 34%
34°C 11%
37°C 10%
BARU
BARU
Jun 18, 2026
32°C or below
1%
33°C
3%
34°C
11%
35°C
34%
36°C
36%
37°C
10%
38°C
1%
39°C
1%
40°C
<1%
41°C
<1%
42°C or higher
<1%
36°C 36%
35°C 34%
34°C 11%
37°C 10%
BARU
BARU
Jun 18, 2026
32°C or below
$959 Vol.
1%
33°C
$390 Vol.
3%
34°C
$517 Vol.
11%
35°C
$980 Vol.
34%
36°C
$775 Vol.
36%
37°C
$1,529 Vol.
10%
38°C
$1,354 Vol.
1%
39°C
$353 Vol.
1%
40°C
$593 Vol.
<1%
41°C
$326 Vol.
<1%
42°C or higher
$555 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Météo-France guidance highlights an intensifying heatwave over Île-de-France driven by a strong high-pressure ridge, clear skies, and light southerly flow that limits mixing and allows rapid surface heating on June 18. Ensemble model consensus centers daytime maxima near 35–36 °C, with urban heat-island amplification in central Paris pushing the official recording site toward the upper end of that range. Minor spread between leading outcomes reflects small differences in boundary-layer moisture, exact wind speeds, and timing of peak insolation across runs; any late-day cloud development or slightly stronger northerly breeze could cap readings at 35 °C instead. Traders are therefore weighting the two most probable bins almost equally while discounting higher or lower thresholds absent major forecast shifts before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Jun 16, 2026, 1:18 AM ET
Volume
$8,331Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 18, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jun 16, 2026, 1:18 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Météo-France guidance highlights an intensifying heatwave over Île-de-France driven by a strong high-pressure ridge, clear skies, and light southerly flow that limits mixing and allows rapid surface heating on June 18. Ensemble model consensus centers daytime maxima near 35–36 °C, with urban heat-island amplification in central Paris pushing the official recording site toward the upper end of that range. Minor spread between leading outcomes reflects small differences in boundary-layer moisture, exact wind speeds, and timing of peak insolation across runs; any late-day cloud development or slightly stronger northerly breeze could cap readings at 35 °C instead. Traders are therefore weighting the two most probable bins almost equally while discounting higher or lower thresholds absent major forecast shifts before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$8,331Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 18, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jun 16, 2026, 1:18 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Météo-France guidance highlights an intensifying heatwave over Île-de-France driven by a strong high-pressure ridge, clear skies, and light southerly flow that limits mixing and allows rapid surface heating on June 18. Ensemble model consensus centers daytime maxima near 35–36 °C, with urban heat-island amplification in central Paris pushing the official recording site toward the upper end of that range. Minor spread between leading outcomes reflects small differences in boundary-layer moisture, exact wind speeds, and timing of peak insolation across runs; any late-day cloud development or slightly stronger northerly breeze could cap readings at 35 °C instead. Traders are therefore weighting the two most probable bins almost equally while discounting higher or lower thresholds absent major forecast shifts before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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