Recent forecasts from major numerical weather prediction models indicate peak daytime temperatures in Milan on June 18 likely reaching 33–34°C under stable high-pressure conditions and mostly clear skies. This narrow spread between the two leading market outcomes reflects minor divergences in model guidance on factors such as boundary-layer mixing, local wind speeds, and any late-day cloud development that could cap the maximum. With June 15 already recording 32.5°C, current conditions support continued warming, yet the 1°C resolution threshold remains sensitive to small forecast adjustments expected in the next 24–48 hours from updated runs. Trader consensus aligns closely with this ensemble range.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Milan on June 18?
33°C 39%
34°C 36%
35°C 14%
32°C 10%
30°C or below
1%
31°C
1%
32°C
10%
33°C
39%
34°C
36%
35°C
14%
36°C
3%
37°C
4%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C or higher
<1%
33°C 39%
34°C 36%
35°C 14%
32°C 10%
30°C or below
1%
31°C
1%
32°C
10%
33°C
39%
34°C
36%
35°C
14%
36°C
3%
37°C
4%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Jun 16, 2026, 1:08 AM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from major numerical weather prediction models indicate peak daytime temperatures in Milan on June 18 likely reaching 33–34°C under stable high-pressure conditions and mostly clear skies. This narrow spread between the two leading market outcomes reflects minor divergences in model guidance on factors such as boundary-layer mixing, local wind speeds, and any late-day cloud development that could cap the maximum. With June 15 already recording 32.5°C, current conditions support continued warming, yet the 1°C resolution threshold remains sensitive to small forecast adjustments expected in the next 24–48 hours from updated runs. Trader consensus aligns closely with this ensemble range.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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