Traders have clustered bets tightly around 37–39°C for Jeddah’s June 16 maximum because current model guidance and climatology place the day squarely within the city’s typical early-summer range of 36–40°C. Stable high pressure, clear skies, and light northwesterly flow off the Red Sea are expected to limit extreme heating while the sea breeze and elevated humidity moderate afternoon peaks. Small differences in forecast wind speed, boundary-layer mixing, or slight shifts in the subtropical ridge could easily separate a 37°C day from a 39°C outcome. With resolution just 48 hours away, the next ECMWF and GFS runs plus any observed changes in Red Sea sea-surface temperatures will likely drive the final adjustments in market-implied odds.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Jeddah on June 16?
38°C 35%
37°C 25%
39°C 23%
40°C or higher 14%
30°C or below
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
1%
35°C
2%
36°C
4%
37°C
25%
38°C
32%
39°C
23%
40°C or higher
14%
38°C 35%
37°C 25%
39°C 23%
40°C or higher 14%
30°C or below
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
1%
35°C
2%
36°C
4%
37°C
25%
38°C
32%
39°C
23%
40°C or higher
14%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Jun 14, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders have clustered bets tightly around 37–39°C for Jeddah’s June 16 maximum because current model guidance and climatology place the day squarely within the city’s typical early-summer range of 36–40°C. Stable high pressure, clear skies, and light northwesterly flow off the Red Sea are expected to limit extreme heating while the sea breeze and elevated humidity moderate afternoon peaks. Small differences in forecast wind speed, boundary-layer mixing, or slight shifts in the subtropical ridge could easily separate a 37°C day from a 39°C outcome. With resolution just 48 hours away, the next ECMWF and GFS runs plus any observed changes in Red Sea sea-surface temperatures will likely drive the final adjustments in market-implied odds.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan