Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance for early August 2026 shows Denver under a persistent warm ridge, with forecast highs near or above 100°F on August 2—well above the ~90°F daily normal—pushing trader consensus toward the 100–103°F bins. Key drivers include strong solar heating under clear or partly cloudy skies, downslope warming along the Front Range, and limited moisture to moderate daytime peaks. Differentiation between the leading 100–101°F and 102–103°F outcomes hinges on small forecast spreads in afternoon mixing depth, wind speed, and any late-day convection timing; updated model runs and the official observation from Buckley Space Force Base will resolve the exact maximum. Historical records exceed 103°F in early August, but current conditions favor a narrow range around the century mark.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Denver on August 2?
102-103°F 39%
100-101°F 38%
98-99°F 18%
96-97°F 4%
91°F or below
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
1%
96-97°F
4%
98-99°F
18%
100-101°F
38%
102-103°F
39%
104-105°F
3%
106-107°F
<1%
108-109°F
<1%
110°F or higher
<1%
102-103°F 39%
100-101°F 38%
98-99°F 18%
96-97°F 4%
91°F or below
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
1%
96-97°F
4%
98-99°F
18%
100-101°F
38%
102-103°F
39%
104-105°F
3%
106-107°F
<1%
108-109°F
<1%
110°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Jul 31, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance for early August 2026 shows Denver under a persistent warm ridge, with forecast highs near or above 100°F on August 2—well above the ~90°F daily normal—pushing trader consensus toward the 100–103°F bins. Key drivers include strong solar heating under clear or partly cloudy skies, downslope warming along the Front Range, and limited moisture to moderate daytime peaks. Differentiation between the leading 100–101°F and 102–103°F outcomes hinges on small forecast spreads in afternoon mixing depth, wind speed, and any late-day convection timing; updated model runs and the official observation from Buckley Space Force Base will resolve the exact maximum. Historical records exceed 103°F in early August, but current conditions favor a narrow range around the century mark.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui

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