Recent National Weather Service and NOAA model guidance points to a daily maximum temperature in Houston on May 22 near the low-to-mid 80s, driven by a cooler-than-normal air mass and increased cloud cover ahead of a frontal passage. Ensemble runs show modest spread around 82–86 °F, reflecting uncertainty in timing of afternoon convection that could cap peak readings. Historical climatology places the May 22 normal high at 89 °F, so current conditions represent a notable negative anomaly. With resolution just two days away, traders are closely monitoring the next 12–24-hour forecast updates from the Houston/Galveston NWS office for any shifts in boundary-layer moisture or steering flow that would favor the 82–83 °F or 84–85 °F bins now carrying the highest implied probabilities.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Houston on May 22?
Highest temperature in Houston on May 22?
84-85°F 30%
82-83°F 27%
86-87°F 20%
80-81°F 13%
BARU
BARU
May 22, 2026
71°F or below
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
1%
78-79°F
2%
80-81°F
13%
82-83°F
27%
84-85°F
30%
86-87°F
20%
88-89°F
9%
90°F or higher
2%
84-85°F 30%
82-83°F 27%
86-87°F 20%
80-81°F 13%
BARU
BARU
May 22, 2026
71°F or below
$564 Vol.
<1%
72-73°F
$45 Vol.
<1%
74-75°F
$309 Vol.
1%
76-77°F
$2 Vol.
1%
78-79°F
$18 Vol.
2%
80-81°F
$79 Vol.
13%
82-83°F
$541 Vol.
27%
84-85°F
$268 Vol.
30%
86-87°F
$106 Vol.
20%
88-89°F
$463 Vol.
9%
90°F or higher
$537 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent National Weather Service and NOAA model guidance points to a daily maximum temperature in Houston on May 22 near the low-to-mid 80s, driven by a cooler-than-normal air mass and increased cloud cover ahead of a frontal passage. Ensemble runs show modest spread around 82–86 °F, reflecting uncertainty in timing of afternoon convection that could cap peak readings. Historical climatology places the May 22 normal high at 89 °F, so current conditions represent a notable negative anomaly. With resolution just two days away, traders are closely monitoring the next 12–24-hour forecast updates from the Houston/Galveston NWS office for any shifts in boundary-layer moisture or steering flow that would favor the 82–83 °F or 84–85 °F bins now carrying the highest implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Pasar Dibuka: May 20, 2026, 12:27 AM ET
Volume
$2,616Tanggal Berakhir
May 22, 2026Pasar Dibuka
May 20, 2026, 12:27 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent National Weather Service and NOAA model guidance points to a daily maximum temperature in Houston on May 22 near the low-to-mid 80s, driven by a cooler-than-normal air mass and increased cloud cover ahead of a frontal passage. Ensemble runs show modest spread around 82–86 °F, reflecting uncertainty in timing of afternoon convection that could cap peak readings. Historical climatology places the May 22 normal high at 89 °F, so current conditions represent a notable negative anomaly. With resolution just two days away, traders are closely monitoring the next 12–24-hour forecast updates from the Houston/Galveston NWS office for any shifts in boundary-layer moisture or steering flow that would favor the 82–83 °F or 84–85 °F bins now carrying the highest implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$2,616Tanggal Berakhir
May 22, 2026Pasar Dibuka
May 20, 2026, 12:27 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and NOAA model guidance points to a daily maximum temperature in Houston on May 22 near the low-to-mid 80s, driven by a cooler-than-normal air mass and increased cloud cover ahead of a frontal passage. Ensemble runs show modest spread around 82–86 °F, reflecting uncertainty in timing of afternoon convection that could cap peak readings. Historical climatology places the May 22 normal high at 89 °F, so current conditions represent a notable negative anomaly. With resolution just two days away, traders are closely monitoring the next 12–24-hour forecast updates from the Houston/Galveston NWS office for any shifts in boundary-layer moisture or steering flow that would favor the 82–83 °F or 84–85 °F bins now carrying the highest implied probabilities.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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