Latest National Weather Service and NOAA model runs indicate a strong likelihood of San Francisco reaching at least 66°F on May 22, driven by a temporary ridge of high pressure that is suppressing the usual marine layer and allowing greater solar heating along the coast. Ensemble guidance shows afternoon temperatures climbing into the mid-to-upper 60s under mostly sunny skies, with light onshore winds limiting afternoon cooling compared to typical May climatology. This shift aligns with the market-implied 78.5% odds for 66°F or higher while keeping lower brackets at single-digit probabilities. Traders are monitoring the next NWS forecast update for any adjustments to the thermal profile or wind patterns ahead of tomorrow’s resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in San Francisco on May 22?
Highest temperature in San Francisco on May 22?
66°F or higher 75%
64-65°F 15%
62-63°F 5%
60-61°F 3.0%
BARU
BARU
May 22, 2026
47°F or below
<1%
48-49°F
<1%
50-51°F
1%
52-53°F
<1%
54-55°F
1%
56-57°F
1%
58-59°F
2%
60-61°F
3%
62-63°F
5%
64-65°F
15%
66°F or higher
75%
66°F or higher 75%
64-65°F 15%
62-63°F 5%
60-61°F 3.0%
BARU
BARU
May 22, 2026
47°F or below
$226 Vol.
<1%
48-49°F
$54 Vol.
<1%
50-51°F
$85 Vol.
1%
52-53°F
$58 Vol.
<1%
54-55°F
$87 Vol.
1%
56-57°F
$72 Vol.
1%
58-59°F
$82 Vol.
2%
60-61°F
$90 Vol.
3%
62-63°F
$92 Vol.
5%
64-65°F
$305 Vol.
15%
66°F or higher
$332 Vol.
75%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest National Weather Service and NOAA model runs indicate a strong likelihood of San Francisco reaching at least 66°F on May 22, driven by a temporary ridge of high pressure that is suppressing the usual marine layer and allowing greater solar heating along the coast. Ensemble guidance shows afternoon temperatures climbing into the mid-to-upper 60s under mostly sunny skies, with light onshore winds limiting afternoon cooling compared to typical May climatology. This shift aligns with the market-implied 78.5% odds for 66°F or higher while keeping lower brackets at single-digit probabilities. Traders are monitoring the next NWS forecast update for any adjustments to the thermal profile or wind patterns ahead of tomorrow’s resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Pasar Dibuka: May 20, 2026, 12:41 AM ET
Volume
$1,483Tanggal Berakhir
May 22, 2026Pasar Dibuka
May 20, 2026, 12:41 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest National Weather Service and NOAA model runs indicate a strong likelihood of San Francisco reaching at least 66°F on May 22, driven by a temporary ridge of high pressure that is suppressing the usual marine layer and allowing greater solar heating along the coast. Ensemble guidance shows afternoon temperatures climbing into the mid-to-upper 60s under mostly sunny skies, with light onshore winds limiting afternoon cooling compared to typical May climatology. This shift aligns with the market-implied 78.5% odds for 66°F or higher while keeping lower brackets at single-digit probabilities. Traders are monitoring the next NWS forecast update for any adjustments to the thermal profile or wind patterns ahead of tomorrow’s resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$1,483Tanggal Berakhir
May 22, 2026Pasar Dibuka
May 20, 2026, 12:41 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest National Weather Service and NOAA model runs indicate a strong likelihood of San Francisco reaching at least 66°F on May 22, driven by a temporary ridge of high pressure that is suppressing the usual marine layer and allowing greater solar heating along the coast. Ensemble guidance shows afternoon temperatures climbing into the mid-to-upper 60s under mostly sunny skies, with light onshore winds limiting afternoon cooling compared to typical May climatology. This shift aligns with the market-implied 78.5% odds for 66°F or higher while keeping lower brackets at single-digit probabilities. Traders are monitoring the next NWS forecast update for any adjustments to the thermal profile or wind patterns ahead of tomorrow’s resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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