National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model guidance point to a high-pressure ridge building over the Pacific Northwest, supporting daytime highs in the low to mid-70s for Seattle on May 22 under mostly sunny skies with light northerly flow. This pattern aligns with seasonal mid-May climatology, where average highs reach 65–68°F at Sea-Tac, yet recent model runs show reduced marine-layer influence and stronger subsidence warming that elevates temperatures well above the 64°F threshold. Trader consensus at 96.9% for 64°F or higher reflects these stable signals, though an unexpected onshore shift or coastal stratus could cap readings in the upper 50s and introduce modest uncertainty ahead of final NWS updates on May 21.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Seattle on May 22?
64°F or higher 95.8%
62-63°F 1.8%
50-51°F <1%
52-53°F <1%
$32,922 Vol.
$32,922 Vol.
45°F or below
<1%
46-47°F
<1%
48-49°F
<1%
50-51°F
<1%
52-53°F
<1%
54-55°F
<1%
56-57°F
<1%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
2%
64°F or higher
96%
64°F or higher 95.8%
62-63°F 1.8%
50-51°F <1%
52-53°F <1%
$32,922 Vol.
$32,922 Vol.
45°F or below
<1%
46-47°F
<1%
48-49°F
<1%
50-51°F
<1%
52-53°F
<1%
54-55°F
<1%
56-57°F
<1%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
2%
64°F or higher
96%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Pasar Dibuka: May 20, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model guidance point to a high-pressure ridge building over the Pacific Northwest, supporting daytime highs in the low to mid-70s for Seattle on May 22 under mostly sunny skies with light northerly flow. This pattern aligns with seasonal mid-May climatology, where average highs reach 65–68°F at Sea-Tac, yet recent model runs show reduced marine-layer influence and stronger subsidence warming that elevates temperatures well above the 64°F threshold. Trader consensus at 96.9% for 64°F or higher reflects these stable signals, though an unexpected onshore shift or coastal stratus could cap readings in the upper 50s and introduce modest uncertainty ahead of final NWS updates on May 21.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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