Recent Met Office guidance and ensemble model consensus point to a highest temperature near 23°C in London today under a weak Atlantic ridge that has replaced the southerly flow behind the 26.6°C reading at Kew Gardens on May 19. This pattern favors increased cloud cover and reduced surface insolation, holding daytime maxima close to late-May climatological norms while limiting upside risk from transient clear breaks. UK and European ensembles cluster tightly between 22–24°C, aligning with the market’s heavy concentration of implied probability on those three outcomes ahead of official verification at London City Airport. Traders appear to be weighting short-range forecast stability over historical spring variability.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in London on May 21?
Highest temperature in London on May 21?
23°C 46%
24°C 25%
22°C 24%
25°C 7%
BARU
$31,779 Vol.
BARU
$31,779 Vol.
May 21, 2026
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
3%
22°C
24%
23°C
46%
24°C
25%
25°C
7%
26°C
1%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
23°C 46%
24°C 25%
22°C 24%
25°C 7%
BARU
$31,779 Vol.
BARU
$31,779 Vol.
May 21, 2026
18°C or below
$2,102 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$2,352 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$2,646 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$3,433 Vol.
3%
22°C
$4,247 Vol.
24%
23°C
$4,871 Vol.
46%
24°C
$4,439 Vol.
25%
25°C
$2,548 Vol.
7%
26°C
$2,703 Vol.
1%
27°C
$1,724 Vol.
<1%
28°C or higher
$913 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Met Office guidance and ensemble model consensus point to a highest temperature near 23°C in London today under a weak Atlantic ridge that has replaced the southerly flow behind the 26.6°C reading at Kew Gardens on May 19. This pattern favors increased cloud cover and reduced surface insolation, holding daytime maxima close to late-May climatological norms while limiting upside risk from transient clear breaks. UK and European ensembles cluster tightly between 22–24°C, aligning with the market’s heavy concentration of implied probability on those three outcomes ahead of official verification at London City Airport. Traders appear to be weighting short-range forecast stability over historical spring variability.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Pasar Dibuka: May 19, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
Volume
$31,779Tanggal Berakhir
May 21, 2026Pasar Dibuka
May 19, 2026, 12:08 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Met Office guidance and ensemble model consensus point to a highest temperature near 23°C in London today under a weak Atlantic ridge that has replaced the southerly flow behind the 26.6°C reading at Kew Gardens on May 19. This pattern favors increased cloud cover and reduced surface insolation, holding daytime maxima close to late-May climatological norms while limiting upside risk from transient clear breaks. UK and European ensembles cluster tightly between 22–24°C, aligning with the market’s heavy concentration of implied probability on those three outcomes ahead of official verification at London City Airport. Traders appear to be weighting short-range forecast stability over historical spring variability.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$31,779Tanggal Berakhir
May 21, 2026Pasar Dibuka
May 19, 2026, 12:08 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Met Office guidance and ensemble model consensus point to a highest temperature near 23°C in London today under a weak Atlantic ridge that has replaced the southerly flow behind the 26.6°C reading at Kew Gardens on May 19. This pattern favors increased cloud cover and reduced surface insolation, holding daytime maxima close to late-May climatological norms while limiting upside risk from transient clear breaks. UK and European ensembles cluster tightly between 22–24°C, aligning with the market’s heavy concentration of implied probability on those three outcomes ahead of official verification at London City Airport. Traders appear to be weighting short-range forecast stability over historical spring variability.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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